Current forecast models from sources including GFS consensus point to a high of 32–34°C in Madrid on August 30, 2026, driven by persistent clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern typical of late-summer Iberian conditions. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (57%) and 34°C (27%), reflecting trader incorporation of near-term model runs showing gradual warming from recent 28–30°C readings amid minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Historical averages near 30°C and recent August observations provide baseline context, while short-term model agreement reduces but does not eliminate divergence risks from any late steering changes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
33°C 57%
34°C 22%
32°C 19%
31°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
19%
33°C
57%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
34°C 22%
32°C 19%
31°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$24 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
4%
30°C
$0 Обс.
4%
31°C
$35 Обс.
5%
32°C
$26 Обс.
19%
33°C
$256 Обс.
57%
34°C
$385 Обс.
22%
35°C
$40 Обс.
4%
36°C
$0 Обс.
2%
37°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$65 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS consensus point to a high of 32–34°C in Madrid on August 30, 2026, driven by persistent clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern typical of late-summer Iberian conditions. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (57%) and 34°C (27%), reflecting trader incorporation of near-term model runs showing gradual warming from recent 28–30°C readings amid minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Historical averages near 30°C and recent August observations provide baseline context, while short-term model agreement reduces but does not eliminate divergence risks from any late steering changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$847Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS consensus point to a high of 32–34°C in Madrid on August 30, 2026, driven by persistent clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern typical of late-summer Iberian conditions. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (57%) and 34°C (27%), reflecting trader incorporation of near-term model runs showing gradual warming from recent 28–30°C readings amid minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Historical averages near 30°C and recent August observations provide baseline context, while short-term model agreement reduces but does not eliminate divergence risks from any late steering changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$847Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS consensus point to a high of 32–34°C in Madrid on August 30, 2026, driven by persistent clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern typical of late-summer Iberian conditions. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (57%) and 34°C (27%), reflecting trader incorporation of near-term model runs showing gradual warming from recent 28–30°C readings amid minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Historical averages near 30°C and recent August observations provide baseline context, while short-term model agreement reduces but does not eliminate divergence risks from any late steering changes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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