Forecast models from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international outlets like Yr and PredictWind, converge on a high of 30–31°C for Guangzhou on August 30, with widespread cloud cover, moderate rain or thunderstorms, and light winds limiting daytime heating. This is several degrees below the long-term average high near 33°C for the date, reflecting suppressed insolation from persistent moisture in the subtropical monsoon regime and high humidity that favors convective activity over clear-sky warming. Traders’ tight clustering around 30–32°C (73% combined implied probability) tracks these consensus runs, where small differences in rain timing or partial clearing could shift the peak by 1°C. Urban heat-island effects in the city center provide a modest upward bias if precipitation remains lighter than expected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
31°C 30%
30°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 10.2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
24%
31°C
30%
32°C
19%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 30%
30°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 10.2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
$50 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$457 Обс.
3%
29°C
$418 Обс.
10%
30°C
$1,101 Обс.
24%
31°C
$321 Обс.
30%
32°C
$606 Обс.
19%
33°C
$322 Обс.
8%
34°C
$364 Обс.
4%
35°C
$561 Обс.
3%
36°C
$85 Обс.
1%
37°C or higher
$206 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international outlets like Yr and PredictWind, converge on a high of 30–31°C for Guangzhou on August 30, with widespread cloud cover, moderate rain or thunderstorms, and light winds limiting daytime heating. This is several degrees below the long-term average high near 33°C for the date, reflecting suppressed insolation from persistent moisture in the subtropical monsoon regime and high humidity that favors convective activity over clear-sky warming. Traders’ tight clustering around 30–32°C (73% combined implied probability) tracks these consensus runs, where small differences in rain timing or partial clearing could shift the peak by 1°C. Urban heat-island effects in the city center provide a modest upward bias if precipitation remains lighter than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,492Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international outlets like Yr and PredictWind, converge on a high of 30–31°C for Guangzhou on August 30, with widespread cloud cover, moderate rain or thunderstorms, and light winds limiting daytime heating. This is several degrees below the long-term average high near 33°C for the date, reflecting suppressed insolation from persistent moisture in the subtropical monsoon regime and high humidity that favors convective activity over clear-sky warming. Traders’ tight clustering around 30–32°C (73% combined implied probability) tracks these consensus runs, where small differences in rain timing or partial clearing could shift the peak by 1°C. Urban heat-island effects in the city center provide a modest upward bias if precipitation remains lighter than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,492Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international outlets like Yr and PredictWind, converge on a high of 30–31°C for Guangzhou on August 30, with widespread cloud cover, moderate rain or thunderstorms, and light winds limiting daytime heating. This is several degrees below the long-term average high near 33°C for the date, reflecting suppressed insolation from persistent moisture in the subtropical monsoon regime and high humidity that favors convective activity over clear-sky warming. Traders’ tight clustering around 30–32°C (73% combined implied probability) tracks these consensus runs, where small differences in rain timing or partial clearing could shift the peak by 1°C. Urban heat-island effects in the city center provide a modest upward bias if precipitation remains lighter than expected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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