Recent forecast runs from agencies including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models show high pressure and light easterly flow supporting a daytime high near 18–19 °C for Buenos Aires on 30 August, with limited diurnal mixing and dry conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet slight upward revisions in several guidance packages have aligned trader consensus with the 21 °C outcome at 61 % implied probability. Historical late-August maxima average 16–18 °C, so current guidance sits modestly above climatology; further model updates overnight and morning observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward 20 °C or 22 °C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
21°C 61%
20°C 20%
22°C 17%
19°C 5%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
61%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
4%
21°C 61%
20°C 20%
22°C 17%
19°C 5%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
61%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from agencies including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models show high pressure and light easterly flow supporting a daytime high near 18–19 °C for Buenos Aires on 30 August, with limited diurnal mixing and dry conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet slight upward revisions in several guidance packages have aligned trader consensus with the 21 °C outcome at 61 % implied probability. Historical late-August maxima average 16–18 °C, so current guidance sits modestly above climatology; further model updates overnight and morning observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward 20 °C or 22 °C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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