Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a typical late-August pattern for Miami, with easterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon convection limiting the daily maximum to the low 90s on August 31. Official outlooks consistently project highs near 90°F amid a 60-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms after midday, consistent with the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 45.5% implied probability and the secondary weight on 92-93°F. Persistent ridging over the Southeast and western Atlantic has sustained this regime, with no immediate tropical influences or significant model shifts altering steering or instability in the past 48 hours. Heat indices exceeding 105°F underscore the role of moisture in moderating actual air temperatures, while historical August averages near 88-90°F provide climatological context for trader positioning ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on August 31?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 31?
90-91°F 46%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 20%
86-87°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
5%
98°F or higher
4%
90-91°F 46%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 20%
86-87°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
79°F or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
4%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
4%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
6%
88-89°F
$4 Обс.
20%
90-91°F
$160 Обс.
46%
92-93°F
$360 Обс.
25%
94-95°F
$32 Обс.
5%
96-97°F
$50 Обс.
5%
98°F or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a typical late-August pattern for Miami, with easterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon convection limiting the daily maximum to the low 90s on August 31. Official outlooks consistently project highs near 90°F amid a 60-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms after midday, consistent with the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 45.5% implied probability and the secondary weight on 92-93°F. Persistent ridging over the Southeast and western Atlantic has sustained this regime, with no immediate tropical influences or significant model shifts altering steering or instability in the past 48 hours. Heat indices exceeding 105°F underscore the role of moisture in moderating actual air temperatures, while historical August averages near 88-90°F provide climatological context for trader positioning ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$606Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a typical late-August pattern for Miami, with easterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon convection limiting the daily maximum to the low 90s on August 31. Official outlooks consistently project highs near 90°F amid a 60-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms after midday, consistent with the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 45.5% implied probability and the secondary weight on 92-93°F. Persistent ridging over the Southeast and western Atlantic has sustained this regime, with no immediate tropical influences or significant model shifts altering steering or instability in the past 48 hours. Heat indices exceeding 105°F underscore the role of moisture in moderating actual air temperatures, while historical August averages near 88-90°F provide climatological context for trader positioning ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$606Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a typical late-August pattern for Miami, with easterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon convection limiting the daily maximum to the low 90s on August 31. Official outlooks consistently project highs near 90°F amid a 60-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms after midday, consistent with the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 45.5% implied probability and the secondary weight on 92-93°F. Persistent ridging over the Southeast and western Atlantic has sustained this regime, with no immediate tropical influences or significant model shifts altering steering or instability in the past 48 hours. Heat indices exceeding 105°F underscore the role of moisture in moderating actual air temperatures, while historical August averages near 88-90°F provide climatological context for trader positioning ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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