**Official forecasts from Environment Canada currently project a high near 26°C for Toronto on August 31, 2026, with a mix of sun and cloud plus a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds toward 22–24°C as the most probable outcomes.** Recent model consensus and the approaching transition to more unsettled conditions—following a warm, humid weekend—have narrowed expectations around the long-term average high of approximately 24.6°C while leaving room for variability from steering patterns and precipitation timing. The notable 22% implied probability on 27°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon clearing or model spread, whereas lower outcomes account for potential cooling from sustained cloud cover or heavier rain. Updated short-range guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on August 31?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 31?
23°C 32%
22°C 25%
21°C 22%
24°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C
22%
22°C
25%
23°C
32%
24°C
22%
25°C
6%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
6%
23°C 32%
22°C 25%
21°C 22%
24°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$0 Обс.
4%
20°C
$0 Обс.
8%
21°C
$0 Обс.
22%
22°C
$0 Обс.
25%
23°C
$0 Обс.
32%
24°C
$54 Обс.
22%
25°C
$18 Обс.
6%
26°C
$0 Обс.
8%
27°C or higher
$0 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada currently project a high near 26°C for Toronto on August 31, 2026, with a mix of sun and cloud plus a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds toward 22–24°C as the most probable outcomes.** Recent model consensus and the approaching transition to more unsettled conditions—following a warm, humid weekend—have narrowed expectations around the long-term average high of approximately 24.6°C while leaving room for variability from steering patterns and precipitation timing. The notable 22% implied probability on 27°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon clearing or model spread, whereas lower outcomes account for potential cooling from sustained cloud cover or heavier rain. Updated short-range guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$72Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada currently project a high near 26°C for Toronto on August 31, 2026, with a mix of sun and cloud plus a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds toward 22–24°C as the most probable outcomes.** Recent model consensus and the approaching transition to more unsettled conditions—following a warm, humid weekend—have narrowed expectations around the long-term average high of approximately 24.6°C while leaving room for variability from steering patterns and precipitation timing. The notable 22% implied probability on 27°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon clearing or model spread, whereas lower outcomes account for potential cooling from sustained cloud cover or heavier rain. Updated short-range guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$72Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Environment Canada currently project a high near 26°C for Toronto on August 31, 2026, with a mix of sun and cloud plus a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds toward 22–24°C as the most probable outcomes.** Recent model consensus and the approaching transition to more unsettled conditions—following a warm, humid weekend—have narrowed expectations around the long-term average high of approximately 24.6°C while leaving room for variability from steering patterns and precipitation timing. The notable 22% implied probability on 27°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon clearing or model spread, whereas lower outcomes account for potential cooling from sustained cloud cover or heavier rain. Updated short-range guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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