Forecast updates from models including GFS and regional guidance show persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and south-southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h across Paris on August 29, suppressing solar heating and holding the daily maximum near seasonal norms of 24°C. These conditions create tight clustering in trader probabilities between 22°C and 23°C, as modest differences in cloud thickness or wind strength can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Official monitoring confirms no anomalous warm advection or clear-sky breakout, keeping higher outcomes like 24°C or above at lower implied odds while cooler readings remain possible if precipitation intensifies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 29?
23°C 36%
22°C 30%
24°C 17%
21°C 15%
$34,024 Обс.
$34,024 Обс.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
15%
22°C
30%
23°C
36%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
8%
23°C 36%
22°C 30%
24°C 17%
21°C 15%
$34,024 Обс.
$34,024 Обс.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
15%
22°C
30%
23°C
36%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast updates from models including GFS and regional guidance show persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and south-southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h across Paris on August 29, suppressing solar heating and holding the daily maximum near seasonal norms of 24°C. These conditions create tight clustering in trader probabilities between 22°C and 23°C, as modest differences in cloud thickness or wind strength can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Official monitoring confirms no anomalous warm advection or clear-sky breakout, keeping higher outcomes like 24°C or above at lower implied odds while cooler readings remain possible if precipitation intensifies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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