**Current numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 30 stabilizing near 16–17°C under cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and limited radiational cooling.** This positions 17°C as the market leader (55.5% implied probability) ahead of 16°C (37.5%), with lower outcomes like 15°C or below remaining marginal (under 10% combined). The mild air mass from the Atlantic has moderated temperatures above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~13.4°C, while recent model runs show little day-to-day shift in the expected minimum. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily, as short-range forecasts for minimum temperature carry low uncertainty this close to the event, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings. Updated model outputs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could refine these odds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
17°C 56%
16°C 37%
18°C 12%
15°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
11%
16°C
37%
17°C
56%
18°C
12%
19°C
11%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 56%
16°C 37%
18°C 12%
15°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$135 Обс.
1%
13°C
$130 Обс.
1%
14°C
$0 Обс.
6%
15°C
$0 Обс.
11%
16°C
$134 Обс.
37%
17°C
$374 Обс.
56%
18°C
$25 Обс.
12%
19°C
$0 Обс.
11%
20°C
$0 Обс.
6%
21°C
$5 Обс.
1%
22°C or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 30 stabilizing near 16–17°C under cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and limited radiational cooling.**
This positions 17°C as the market leader (55.5% implied probability) ahead of 16°C (37.5%), with lower outcomes like 15°C or below remaining marginal (under 10% combined). The mild air mass from the Atlantic has moderated temperatures above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~13.4°C, while recent model runs show little day-to-day shift in the expected minimum. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily, as short-range forecasts for minimum temperature carry low uncertainty this close to the event, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings. Updated model outputs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$808Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 30 stabilizing near 16–17°C under cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and limited radiational cooling.**
This positions 17°C as the market leader (55.5% implied probability) ahead of 16°C (37.5%), with lower outcomes like 15°C or below remaining marginal (under 10% combined). The mild air mass from the Atlantic has moderated temperatures above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~13.4°C, while recent model runs show little day-to-day shift in the expected minimum. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily, as short-range forecasts for minimum temperature carry low uncertainty this close to the event, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings. Updated model outputs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$808Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 30 stabilizing near 16–17°C under cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and limited radiational cooling.** This positions 17°C as the market leader (55.5% implied probability) ahead of 16°C (37.5%), with lower outcomes like 15°C or below remaining marginal (under 10% combined). The mild air mass from the Atlantic has moderated temperatures above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~13.4°C, while recent model runs show little day-to-day shift in the expected minimum. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily, as short-range forecasts for minimum temperature carry low uncertainty this close to the event, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings. Updated model outputs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could refine these odds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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