Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a northwest wind flow will deliver mild conditions to Wellington on August 29, supporting a daily maximum near 14°C with limited cloud cover and no significant precipitation. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 16°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty in model runs that occasionally project brief warmer spells or measurement variations at official stations. Strong winds may influence localized readings, while climatological baselines for late winter show typical highs of 12–14°C. Updated model guidance and real-time observations ahead of market resolution will clarify whether temperatures edge higher or settle closer to the 15°C band at 25.5%.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
16°C 59%
15°C 28%
17°C 9%
18°C <1%
НОВЕ
$42,965 Обс.
НОВЕ
$42,965 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
28%
16°C
59%
17°C
9%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
16°C 59%
15°C 28%
17°C 9%
18°C <1%
НОВЕ
$42,965 Обс.
НОВЕ
$42,965 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$900 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$2,860 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$345 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$1,050 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$1,426 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$10,402 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$7,245 Обс.
28%
16°C
$7,362 Обс.
59%
17°C
$6,350 Обс.
9%
18°C
$4,828 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$196 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a northwest wind flow will deliver mild conditions to Wellington on August 29, supporting a daily maximum near 14°C with limited cloud cover and no significant precipitation. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 16°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty in model runs that occasionally project brief warmer spells or measurement variations at official stations. Strong winds may influence localized readings, while climatological baselines for late winter show typical highs of 12–14°C. Updated model guidance and real-time observations ahead of market resolution will clarify whether temperatures edge higher or settle closer to the 15°C band at 25.5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,965Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a northwest wind flow will deliver mild conditions to Wellington on August 29, supporting a daily maximum near 14°C with limited cloud cover and no significant precipitation. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 16°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty in model runs that occasionally project brief warmer spells or measurement variations at official stations. Strong winds may influence localized readings, while climatological baselines for late winter show typical highs of 12–14°C. Updated model guidance and real-time observations ahead of market resolution will clarify whether temperatures edge higher or settle closer to the 15°C band at 25.5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42,965Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a northwest wind flow will deliver mild conditions to Wellington on August 29, supporting a daily maximum near 14°C with limited cloud cover and no significant precipitation. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 16°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty in model runs that occasionally project brief warmer spells or measurement variations at official stations. Strong winds may influence localized readings, while climatological baselines for late winter show typical highs of 12–14°C. Updated model guidance and real-time observations ahead of market resolution will clarify whether temperatures edge higher or settle closer to the 15°C band at 25.5%.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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