Official National Weather Service forecasts for central Los Angeles point to a high near 97°F amid the ongoing Southern California heat wave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, with minimal marine layer intrusion expected to limit afternoon cooling. This positions the upper 80s to low 90s as the most probable range for the official settlement station reading, consistent with historical late-August baselines and typical sea-breeze effects that often cap coastal or airport-adjacent observations several degrees below inland peaks. Latest model consensus shows light southwest winds and partly cloudy conditions, reducing the chance of extreme outliers above 92°F while supporting the market's concentration around 86–89°F outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and any revised afternoon observations could further refine these implied probabilities before settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
88-89°F 49%
86-87°F 29%
90-91°F 10%
84-85°F 9%
НОВЕ
$28,013 Обс.
НОВЕ
$28,013 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
49%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 49%
86-87°F 29%
90-91°F 10%
84-85°F 9%
НОВЕ
$28,013 Обс.
НОВЕ
$28,013 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
79°F or below
$619 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$912 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$5,922 Обс.
2%
84-85°F
$7,611 Обс.
9%
86-87°F
$4,067 Обс.
29%
88-89°F
$2,558 Обс.
49%
90-91°F
$1,493 Обс.
10%
92-93°F
$700 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$2,181 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$921 Обс.
<1%
98°F or higher
$1,253 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for central Los Angeles point to a high near 97°F amid the ongoing Southern California heat wave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, with minimal marine layer intrusion expected to limit afternoon cooling. This positions the upper 80s to low 90s as the most probable range for the official settlement station reading, consistent with historical late-August baselines and typical sea-breeze effects that often cap coastal or airport-adjacent observations several degrees below inland peaks. Latest model consensus shows light southwest winds and partly cloudy conditions, reducing the chance of extreme outliers above 92°F while supporting the market's concentration around 86–89°F outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and any revised afternoon observations could further refine these implied probabilities before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$28,013Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for central Los Angeles point to a high near 97°F amid the ongoing Southern California heat wave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, with minimal marine layer intrusion expected to limit afternoon cooling. This positions the upper 80s to low 90s as the most probable range for the official settlement station reading, consistent with historical late-August baselines and typical sea-breeze effects that often cap coastal or airport-adjacent observations several degrees below inland peaks. Latest model consensus shows light southwest winds and partly cloudy conditions, reducing the chance of extreme outliers above 92°F while supporting the market's concentration around 86–89°F outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and any revised afternoon observations could further refine these implied probabilities before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$28,013Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for central Los Angeles point to a high near 97°F amid the ongoing Southern California heat wave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, with minimal marine layer intrusion expected to limit afternoon cooling. This positions the upper 80s to low 90s as the most probable range for the official settlement station reading, consistent with historical late-August baselines and typical sea-breeze effects that often cap coastal or airport-adjacent observations several degrees below inland peaks. Latest model consensus shows light southwest winds and partly cloudy conditions, reducing the chance of extreme outliers above 92°F while supporting the market's concentration around 86–89°F outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and any revised afternoon observations could further refine these implied probabilities before settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання