Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure over Southern California will limit marine layer cooling on August 28, supporting overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s across Los Angeles stations. This setup aligns with recent heatwave conditions, where urban heat island effects and light winds have kept minimum temperatures elevated compared to climatological averages near 65°F. Trader emphasis on the 67°F-or-below outcome at 45% implied probability reflects uncertainty in localized cooling from any strengthening onshore flow or cloud cover, while the clustered probabilities around 72–75°F capture consensus guidance for the official low. Updated model runs and NWS evening briefings remain key near-term catalysts for shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
74-75°F 50%
67°F or below 45%
72-73°F 26%
76-77°F 26%
67°F or below
45%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
8%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 50%
67°F or below 45%
72-73°F 26%
76-77°F 26%
67°F or below
45%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
8%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure over Southern California will limit marine layer cooling on August 28, supporting overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s across Los Angeles stations. This setup aligns with recent heatwave conditions, where urban heat island effects and light winds have kept minimum temperatures elevated compared to climatological averages near 65°F. Trader emphasis on the 67°F-or-below outcome at 45% implied probability reflects uncertainty in localized cooling from any strengthening onshore flow or cloud cover, while the clustered probabilities around 72–75°F capture consensus guidance for the official low. Updated model runs and NWS evening briefings remain key near-term catalysts for shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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