Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a clear, sunny day in Austin on August 29 with a minimum temperature in the mid-70s, driven by typical late-summer high pressure, light southerly winds, and moderate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. This aligns with climatological norms near 72°F yet slightly elevated by persistent warmth and humidity that limits nocturnal temperature drops. The near-even market-implied odds between 86°F or higher and 67°F or below reflect trader uncertainty around precise boundary-layer cooling rates and any microscale variations in dew points or wind, while narrower bins around 74–75°F capture the most probable outcome range based on current model consensus and historical August lows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Austin on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 29?
86°F or higher 85%
78-79°F 49%
67°F or below 43%
74-75°F 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
43%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
85%
86°F or higher 85%
78-79°F 49%
67°F or below 43%
74-75°F 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
$5 Обс.
43%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
25%
70-71°F
$10 Обс.
4%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
28%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
25%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
49%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
25%
82-83°F
$5 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$147 Обс.
5%
86°F or higher
$17 Обс.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a clear, sunny day in Austin on August 29 with a minimum temperature in the mid-70s, driven by typical late-summer high pressure, light southerly winds, and moderate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. This aligns with climatological norms near 72°F yet slightly elevated by persistent warmth and humidity that limits nocturnal temperature drops. The near-even market-implied odds between 86°F or higher and 67°F or below reflect trader uncertainty around precise boundary-layer cooling rates and any microscale variations in dew points or wind, while narrower bins around 74–75°F capture the most probable outcome range based on current model consensus and historical August lows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$184Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a clear, sunny day in Austin on August 29 with a minimum temperature in the mid-70s, driven by typical late-summer high pressure, light southerly winds, and moderate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. This aligns with climatological norms near 72°F yet slightly elevated by persistent warmth and humidity that limits nocturnal temperature drops. The near-even market-implied odds between 86°F or higher and 67°F or below reflect trader uncertainty around precise boundary-layer cooling rates and any microscale variations in dew points or wind, while narrower bins around 74–75°F capture the most probable outcome range based on current model consensus and historical August lows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$184Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a clear, sunny day in Austin on August 29 with a minimum temperature in the mid-70s, driven by typical late-summer high pressure, light southerly winds, and moderate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. This aligns with climatological norms near 72°F yet slightly elevated by persistent warmth and humidity that limits nocturnal temperature drops. The near-even market-implied odds between 86°F or higher and 67°F or below reflect trader uncertainty around precise boundary-layer cooling rates and any microscale variations in dew points or wind, while narrower bins around 74–75°F capture the most probable outcome range based on current model consensus and historical August lows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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