Recent official and model forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a daytime high near 32°C for Shanghai on August 29, supported by subtropical summer conditions with southeast winds, moderate humidity around 70-85%, and only light shower chances that are unlikely to sharply limit afternoon warming. Recent days have featured similar 31-33°C maxima amid variable cloud cover, establishing a baseline consistent with late-August climatology near 31°C. Market-implied odds favor 32°C as the consensus outcome because ensemble guidance clusters there, while 31°C reflects downside risk from increased convection and 33°C captures upside if skies clear more than expected; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
32°C 60%
31°C 22%
33°C 14%
30°C 5%
НОВЕ
$12,269 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,269 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
22%
32°C
60%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
31°C 22%
33°C 14%
30°C 5%
НОВЕ
$12,269 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,269 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
26°C or below
$278 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$406 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$876 Обс.
1%
29°C
$678 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,160 Обс.
5%
31°C
$1,268 Обс.
22%
32°C
$2,603 Обс.
60%
33°C
$2,931 Обс.
14%
34°C
$894 Обс.
3%
35°C
$704 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$482 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a daytime high near 32°C for Shanghai on August 29, supported by subtropical summer conditions with southeast winds, moderate humidity around 70-85%, and only light shower chances that are unlikely to sharply limit afternoon warming. Recent days have featured similar 31-33°C maxima amid variable cloud cover, establishing a baseline consistent with late-August climatology near 31°C. Market-implied odds favor 32°C as the consensus outcome because ensemble guidance clusters there, while 31°C reflects downside risk from increased convection and 33°C captures upside if skies clear more than expected; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,269Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a daytime high near 32°C for Shanghai on August 29, supported by subtropical summer conditions with southeast winds, moderate humidity around 70-85%, and only light shower chances that are unlikely to sharply limit afternoon warming. Recent days have featured similar 31-33°C maxima amid variable cloud cover, establishing a baseline consistent with late-August climatology near 31°C. Market-implied odds favor 32°C as the consensus outcome because ensemble guidance clusters there, while 31°C reflects downside risk from increased convection and 33°C captures upside if skies clear more than expected; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,269Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and model forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a daytime high near 32°C for Shanghai on August 29, supported by subtropical summer conditions with southeast winds, moderate humidity around 70-85%, and only light shower chances that are unlikely to sharply limit afternoon warming. Recent days have featured similar 31-33°C maxima amid variable cloud cover, establishing a baseline consistent with late-August climatology near 31°C. Market-implied odds favor 32°C as the consensus outcome because ensemble guidance clusters there, while 31°C reflects downside risk from increased convection and 33°C captures upside if skies clear more than expected; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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