Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in Manila, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–28°C range for August 30 amid 100% rain probability and strong southwesterly winds. Multiple models converge on highs near 28–30°C due to reduced insolation from thick cloud decks and evaporative cooling from heavy showers, though urban heat island effects could nudge readings slightly higher. Recent low-pressure influences east of Luzon have sustained the moist flow, limiting any brief clear periods that might allow temperatures to reach 31°C or above. Market pricing clustering at 29–31°C reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and potential model underestimation of localized warming. Updated PAGASA guidance and model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 30?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 30?
30°C 36%
31°C 24%
29°C 18%
28°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
18%
30°C
36%
31°C
24%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
31°C 24%
29°C 18%
28°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
$69 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$160 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$90 Обс.
1%
27°C
$37 Обс.
4%
28°C
$311 Обс.
8%
29°C
$1,177 Обс.
18%
30°C
$82 Обс.
36%
31°C
$81 Обс.
24%
32°C
$270 Обс.
5%
33°C
$3 Обс.
2%
34°C or higher
$84 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in Manila, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–28°C range for August 30 amid 100% rain probability and strong southwesterly winds. Multiple models converge on highs near 28–30°C due to reduced insolation from thick cloud decks and evaporative cooling from heavy showers, though urban heat island effects could nudge readings slightly higher. Recent low-pressure influences east of Luzon have sustained the moist flow, limiting any brief clear periods that might allow temperatures to reach 31°C or above. Market pricing clustering at 29–31°C reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and potential model underestimation of localized warming. Updated PAGASA guidance and model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,365Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in Manila, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–28°C range for August 30 amid 100% rain probability and strong southwesterly winds. Multiple models converge on highs near 28–30°C due to reduced insolation from thick cloud decks and evaporative cooling from heavy showers, though urban heat island effects could nudge readings slightly higher. Recent low-pressure influences east of Luzon have sustained the moist flow, limiting any brief clear periods that might allow temperatures to reach 31°C or above. Market pricing clustering at 29–31°C reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and potential model underestimation of localized warming. Updated PAGASA guidance and model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,365Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in Manila, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–28°C range for August 30 amid 100% rain probability and strong southwesterly winds. Multiple models converge on highs near 28–30°C due to reduced insolation from thick cloud decks and evaporative cooling from heavy showers, though urban heat island effects could nudge readings slightly higher. Recent low-pressure influences east of Luzon have sustained the moist flow, limiting any brief clear periods that might allow temperatures to reach 31°C or above. Market pricing clustering at 29–31°C reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and potential model underestimation of localized warming. Updated PAGASA guidance and model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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