Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 24–27°C for the August 30 minimum. Official PAGASA guidance and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds and widespread precipitation, which suppresses the typical diurnal temperature range by limiting radiative cooling. Recent enhanced monsoon activity has already produced similar conditions with recorded minima near 24°C, supporting the near-even market distribution while leaving room for small shifts depending on the exact timing and intensity of showers during the overnight period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
22°C 50%
24°C 50%
30°C 50%
29°C 41%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
41%
30°C
50%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
24°C 50%
30°C 50%
29°C 41%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$151 Обс.
1%
22°C
$16 Обс.
50%
23°C
$0 Обс.
26%
24°C
$6 Обс.
28%
25°C
$0 Обс.
26%
26°C
$0 Обс.
28%
27°C
$0 Обс.
27%
28°C
$0 Обс.
26%
29°C
$20 Обс.
41%
30°C
$135 Обс.
50%
31°C or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 24–27°C for the August 30 minimum. Official PAGASA guidance and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds and widespread precipitation, which suppresses the typical diurnal temperature range by limiting radiative cooling. Recent enhanced monsoon activity has already produced similar conditions with recorded minima near 24°C, supporting the near-even market distribution while leaving room for small shifts depending on the exact timing and intensity of showers during the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$333Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 24–27°C for the August 30 minimum. Official PAGASA guidance and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds and widespread precipitation, which suppresses the typical diurnal temperature range by limiting radiative cooling. Recent enhanced monsoon activity has already produced similar conditions with recorded minima near 24°C, supporting the near-even market distribution while leaving room for small shifts depending on the exact timing and intensity of showers during the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$333Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 24–27°C for the August 30 minimum. Official PAGASA guidance and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds and widespread precipitation, which suppresses the typical diurnal temperature range by limiting radiative cooling. Recent enhanced monsoon activity has already produced similar conditions with recorded minima near 24°C, supporting the near-even market distribution while leaving room for small shifts depending on the exact timing and intensity of showers during the overnight period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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