Persistent enhanced southwest monsoon activity, driven by low-pressure areas east of northern Luzon, is sustaining widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 85%, and frequent rainfall across Metro Manila, which restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and anchors minimum temperatures near the 25–27°C range. Official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble forecasts for August 31 indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered to occasional heavy showers, consistent with climatological August lows averaging 24–26°C under similar monsoon regimes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because small variations in overnight wind speed, rainfall intensity, or urban heat retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while the low 1% odds for 31°C or higher reflect strong model consensus against significant clearing. Updated PAGASA bulletins and global model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 31?
25°C 50%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
33%
22°C
19%
23°C
47%
24°C
49%
25°C
50%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
46%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 50%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
33%
22°C
$0 Обс.
19%
23°C
$0 Обс.
47%
24°C
$0 Обс.
49%
25°C
$0 Обс.
50%
26°C
$0 Обс.
26%
27°C
$0 Обс.
26%
28°C
$0 Обс.
49%
29°C
$0 Обс.
49%
30°C
$0 Обс.
46%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent enhanced southwest monsoon activity, driven by low-pressure areas east of northern Luzon, is sustaining widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 85%, and frequent rainfall across Metro Manila, which restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and anchors minimum temperatures near the 25–27°C range. Official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble forecasts for August 31 indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered to occasional heavy showers, consistent with climatological August lows averaging 24–26°C under similar monsoon regimes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because small variations in overnight wind speed, rainfall intensity, or urban heat retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while the low 1% odds for 31°C or higher reflect strong model consensus against significant clearing. Updated PAGASA bulletins and global model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent enhanced southwest monsoon activity, driven by low-pressure areas east of northern Luzon, is sustaining widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 85%, and frequent rainfall across Metro Manila, which restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and anchors minimum temperatures near the 25–27°C range. Official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble forecasts for August 31 indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered to occasional heavy showers, consistent with climatological August lows averaging 24–26°C under similar monsoon regimes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because small variations in overnight wind speed, rainfall intensity, or urban heat retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while the low 1% odds for 31°C or higher reflect strong model consensus against significant clearing. Updated PAGASA bulletins and global model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent enhanced southwest monsoon activity, driven by low-pressure areas east of northern Luzon, is sustaining widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 85%, and frequent rainfall across Metro Manila, which restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and anchors minimum temperatures near the 25–27°C range. Official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble forecasts for August 31 indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered to occasional heavy showers, consistent with climatological August lows averaging 24–26°C under similar monsoon regimes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because small variations in overnight wind speed, rainfall intensity, or urban heat retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while the low 1% odds for 31°C or higher reflect strong model consensus against significant clearing. Updated PAGASA bulletins and global model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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