Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms across the Tokyo region on August 29 are suppressing daytime heating and limiting the maximum temperature. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on highs of 25–29 °C, with several models showing daytime readings clustered near 25–27 °C amid northeasterly flow and high humidity. This pattern aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (82.5 % implied probability) and modest odds on 28 °C. Late-summer climatology typically supports warmer peaks near 31 °C, but the current synoptic setup—marked by low-level moisture and limited solar insolation—has shifted consensus downward. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 28 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
27°C 84%
28°C 12%
29°C 3%
30°C 2%
НОВЕ
$43,450 Обс.
НОВЕ
$43,450 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
84%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 84%
28°C 12%
29°C 3%
30°C 2%
НОВЕ
$43,450 Обс.
НОВЕ
$43,450 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,191 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,468 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,477 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$17,228 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$4,261 Обс.
84%
28°C
$5,290 Обс.
12%
29°C
$3,674 Обс.
3%
30°C
$2,823 Обс.
2%
31°C
$1,376 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$2,410 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms across the Tokyo region on August 29 are suppressing daytime heating and limiting the maximum temperature. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on highs of 25–29 °C, with several models showing daytime readings clustered near 25–27 °C amid northeasterly flow and high humidity. This pattern aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (82.5 % implied probability) and modest odds on 28 °C. Late-summer climatology typically supports warmer peaks near 31 °C, but the current synoptic setup—marked by low-level moisture and limited solar insolation—has shifted consensus downward. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 28 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$43,450Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms across the Tokyo region on August 29 are suppressing daytime heating and limiting the maximum temperature. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on highs of 25–29 °C, with several models showing daytime readings clustered near 25–27 °C amid northeasterly flow and high humidity. This pattern aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (82.5 % implied probability) and modest odds on 28 °C. Late-summer climatology typically supports warmer peaks near 31 °C, but the current synoptic setup—marked by low-level moisture and limited solar insolation—has shifted consensus downward. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 28 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$43,450Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms across the Tokyo region on August 29 are suppressing daytime heating and limiting the maximum temperature. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on highs of 25–29 °C, with several models showing daytime readings clustered near 25–27 °C amid northeasterly flow and high humidity. This pattern aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (82.5 % implied probability) and modest odds on 28 °C. Late-summer climatology typically supports warmer peaks near 31 °C, but the current synoptic setup—marked by low-level moisture and limited solar insolation—has shifted consensus downward. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 28 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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