Recent forecasts from multiple sources indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 30 likely between 20–22°C, with models showing light rain, persistent cloud cover, and light northerly winds moderating overnight cooling. High humidity and overcast skies from the preceding day’s weather pattern limit radiative heat loss, while dew points near 19–21°C support a floor around 20–21°C in the early morning hours. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with 21°C and 22°C dominating as the most probable outcomes under current model consensus, though minor variations in wind timing or partial clearing could shift the exact low by 1°C. Official updates from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
21°C 43%
22°C 39%
20°C 8%
24°C 8%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
8%
21°C
43%
22°C
39%
23°C
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 39%
20°C 8%
24°C 8%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
8%
21°C
43%
22°C
39%
23°C
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple sources indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 30 likely between 20–22°C, with models showing light rain, persistent cloud cover, and light northerly winds moderating overnight cooling. High humidity and overcast skies from the preceding day’s weather pattern limit radiative heat loss, while dew points near 19–21°C support a floor around 20–21°C in the early morning hours. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with 21°C and 22°C dominating as the most probable outcomes under current model consensus, though minor variations in wind timing or partial clearing could shift the exact low by 1°C. Official updates from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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