Recent numerical weather models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 22–23°C for Tokyo on August 29 amid persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and light showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This follows several days of humid conditions with daytime highs near 30–32°C and reflects typical late-August moderation when frontal influences reduce insolation compared to peak summer patterns. Forecast spread remains narrow around these values, with minor variations tied to exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight market clustering at 22°C and 23°C. Historical August minima average near 23°C, providing context for the current consensus. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise low before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
22°C 43%
23°C 38%
21°C 13%
24°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
13%
22°C
43%
23°C
38%
24°C
7%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 43%
23°C 38%
21°C 13%
24°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$126 Обс.
2%
20°C
$11 Обс.
4%
21°C
$91 Обс.
13%
22°C
$84 Обс.
43%
23°C
$296 Обс.
38%
24°C
$83 Обс.
7%
25°C
$138 Обс.
6%
26°C
$113 Обс.
3%
27°C
$121 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$69 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 22–23°C for Tokyo on August 29 amid persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and light showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This follows several days of humid conditions with daytime highs near 30–32°C and reflects typical late-August moderation when frontal influences reduce insolation compared to peak summer patterns. Forecast spread remains narrow around these values, with minor variations tied to exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight market clustering at 22°C and 23°C. Historical August minima average near 23°C, providing context for the current consensus. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,135Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 22–23°C for Tokyo on August 29 amid persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and light showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This follows several days of humid conditions with daytime highs near 30–32°C and reflects typical late-August moderation when frontal influences reduce insolation compared to peak summer patterns. Forecast spread remains narrow around these values, with minor variations tied to exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight market clustering at 22°C and 23°C. Historical August minima average near 23°C, providing context for the current consensus. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,135Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 22–23°C for Tokyo on August 29 amid persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and light showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This follows several days of humid conditions with daytime highs near 30–32°C and reflects typical late-August moderation when frontal influences reduce insolation compared to peak summer patterns. Forecast spread remains narrow around these values, with minor variations tied to exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight market clustering at 22°C and 23°C. Historical August minima average near 23°C, providing context for the current consensus. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise low before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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