Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24–26°C on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–85%, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns where urban heat-island effects and moisture from nearby showers keep overnight lows elevated above seasonal averages of 22–23°C. Current observations show temperatures holding above 25°C into the evening, with model consensus narrowing the likely range and supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 26°C as the recorded low. Updated JMA guidance and station data releases later today remain the key near-term variables.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 28?
22°C or below 3%
24°C 2%
23°C 1%
27°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
31%
26°C
49%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 3%
24°C 2%
23°C 1%
27°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$935 Обс.
3%
23°C
$961 Обс.
1%
24°C
$1,013 Обс.
2%
25°C
$771 Обс.
31%
26°C
$2,339 Обс.
49%
27°C
$430 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$268 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$925 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$328 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$202 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$352 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24–26°C on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–85%, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns where urban heat-island effects and moisture from nearby showers keep overnight lows elevated above seasonal averages of 22–23°C. Current observations show temperatures holding above 25°C into the evening, with model consensus narrowing the likely range and supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 26°C as the recorded low. Updated JMA guidance and station data releases later today remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,524Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24–26°C on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–85%, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns where urban heat-island effects and moisture from nearby showers keep overnight lows elevated above seasonal averages of 22–23°C. Current observations show temperatures holding above 25°C into the evening, with model consensus narrowing the likely range and supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 26°C as the recorded low. Updated JMA guidance and station data releases later today remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,524Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24–26°C on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–85%, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns where urban heat-island effects and moisture from nearby showers keep overnight lows elevated above seasonal averages of 22–23°C. Current observations show temperatures holding above 25°C into the evening, with model consensus narrowing the likely range and supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 26°C as the recorded low. Updated JMA guidance and station data releases later today remain the key near-term variables.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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