**Forecast models from sources including Météo-France equivalents, ECMWF-influenced outlooks, and sites like Weather Atlas and Meteohorizon converge on a daytime high of 22–24°C for Paris on August 28, 2026, with 23°C emerging as the modal outcome.** This reflects the primary driver of increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Atlantic, which limits insolation and daytime heating compared to the prior warmer period (highs near 28–29°C). Winds of 10–15 km/h and humidity around 50–70% further moderate peak temperatures, consistent with late-August climatology where the average high is about 24°C. Recent model runs as of August 26 show limited spread, supporting the market’s tight distribution around 22–24°C (combined ~86% implied probability) while assigning low odds to extremes above 25°C or below 21°C due to the absence of strong high-pressure building or cold-air outbreaks. Updated guidance through the 28th will refine any last adjustments from evolving frontal timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 28?
23°C 40%
22°C 24%
24°C 23%
25°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
24%
23°C
40%
24°C
23%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
3%
23°C 40%
22°C 24%
24°C 23%
25°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$108 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$29 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$29 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$26 Обс.
1%
20°C
$88 Обс.
2%
21°C
$508 Обс.
6%
22°C
$979 Обс.
24%
23°C
$651 Обс.
40%
24°C
$329 Обс.
23%
25°C
$357 Обс.
8%
26°C or higher
$159 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Météo-France equivalents, ECMWF-influenced outlooks, and sites like Weather Atlas and Meteohorizon converge on a daytime high of 22–24°C for Paris on August 28, 2026, with 23°C emerging as the modal outcome.** This reflects the primary driver of increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Atlantic, which limits insolation and daytime heating compared to the prior warmer period (highs near 28–29°C).
Winds of 10–15 km/h and humidity around 50–70% further moderate peak temperatures, consistent with late-August climatology where the average high is about 24°C. Recent model runs as of August 26 show limited spread, supporting the market’s tight distribution around 22–24°C (combined ~86% implied probability) while assigning low odds to extremes above 25°C or below 21°C due to the absence of strong high-pressure building or cold-air outbreaks. Updated guidance through the 28th will refine any last adjustments from evolving frontal timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,264Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Météo-France equivalents, ECMWF-influenced outlooks, and sites like Weather Atlas and Meteohorizon converge on a daytime high of 22–24°C for Paris on August 28, 2026, with 23°C emerging as the modal outcome.** This reflects the primary driver of increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Atlantic, which limits insolation and daytime heating compared to the prior warmer period (highs near 28–29°C).
Winds of 10–15 km/h and humidity around 50–70% further moderate peak temperatures, consistent with late-August climatology where the average high is about 24°C. Recent model runs as of August 26 show limited spread, supporting the market’s tight distribution around 22–24°C (combined ~86% implied probability) while assigning low odds to extremes above 25°C or below 21°C due to the absence of strong high-pressure building or cold-air outbreaks. Updated guidance through the 28th will refine any last adjustments from evolving frontal timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,264Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including Météo-France equivalents, ECMWF-influenced outlooks, and sites like Weather Atlas and Meteohorizon converge on a daytime high of 22–24°C for Paris on August 28, 2026, with 23°C emerging as the modal outcome.** This reflects the primary driver of increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Atlantic, which limits insolation and daytime heating compared to the prior warmer period (highs near 28–29°C). Winds of 10–15 km/h and humidity around 50–70% further moderate peak temperatures, consistent with late-August climatology where the average high is about 24°C. Recent model runs as of August 26 show limited spread, supporting the market’s tight distribution around 22–24°C (combined ~86% implied probability) while assigning low odds to extremes above 25°C or below 21°C due to the absence of strong high-pressure building or cold-air outbreaks. Updated guidance through the 28th will refine any last adjustments from evolving frontal timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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