Recent official forecasts from agencies like the National Weather Service of Argentina and global models indicate a stabilizing high-pressure system over the region, with clear skies and light easterly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling. This setup positions the minimum temperature near 3°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the 76% implied probability. Historical August climatology for Buenos Aires shows typical lows around 7–10°C, but recent model runs incorporating current atmospheric conditions have trended cooler without crossing into widespread sub-2°C territory. Upcoming hourly observations through the pre-dawn hours will provide the final verification data for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
2°C or below 56%
4°C 1.0%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,376 Обс.
$2,376 Обс.
2°C or below
56%
3°C
-
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
2°C or below 56%
4°C 1.0%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,376 Обс.
$2,376 Обс.
2°C or below
56%
3°C
-
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies like the National Weather Service of Argentina and global models indicate a stabilizing high-pressure system over the region, with clear skies and light easterly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling. This setup positions the minimum temperature near 3°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the 76% implied probability. Historical August climatology for Buenos Aires shows typical lows around 7–10°C, but recent model runs incorporating current atmospheric conditions have trended cooler without crossing into widespread sub-2°C territory. Upcoming hourly observations through the pre-dawn hours will provide the final verification data for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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