Latest MetService and international model consensus point to a high of 16°C in Wellington on August 30 under strengthening northwesterlies and mostly sunny skies, with limited cloud cover and no significant precipitation expected. This aligns with the current mild anomaly for late winter, where regional pressure gradients favor warmer advection from the northwest rather than cooler southerlies. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office reinforces a daytime peak near 16°C, though minor variations in local measurement sites or brief wind shifts could nudge the maximum toward 17°C. Trader positioning on 17°C as the leading outcome reflects this narrow forecast range and historical precedent for slight underestimation in similar setups, while lower probabilities for 18°C+ or 15°C and below capture the remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
17°C 54%
16°C 20%
18°C 18%
15°C 3%
НОВЕ
$14,258 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,258 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
20%
17°C
54%
18°C
18%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 54%
16°C 20%
18°C 18%
15°C 3%
НОВЕ
$14,258 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,258 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$498 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$388 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$381 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$788 Обс.
1%
15°C
$993 Обс.
3%
16°C
$5,378 Обс.
20%
17°C
$2,375 Обс.
54%
18°C
$2,092 Обс.
18%
19°C
$607 Обс.
2%
20°C
$494 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$489 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model consensus point to a high of 16°C in Wellington on August 30 under strengthening northwesterlies and mostly sunny skies, with limited cloud cover and no significant precipitation expected. This aligns with the current mild anomaly for late winter, where regional pressure gradients favor warmer advection from the northwest rather than cooler southerlies. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office reinforces a daytime peak near 16°C, though minor variations in local measurement sites or brief wind shifts could nudge the maximum toward 17°C. Trader positioning on 17°C as the leading outcome reflects this narrow forecast range and historical precedent for slight underestimation in similar setups, while lower probabilities for 18°C+ or 15°C and below capture the remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,258Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model consensus point to a high of 16°C in Wellington on August 30 under strengthening northwesterlies and mostly sunny skies, with limited cloud cover and no significant precipitation expected. This aligns with the current mild anomaly for late winter, where regional pressure gradients favor warmer advection from the northwest rather than cooler southerlies. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office reinforces a daytime peak near 16°C, though minor variations in local measurement sites or brief wind shifts could nudge the maximum toward 17°C. Trader positioning on 17°C as the leading outcome reflects this narrow forecast range and historical precedent for slight underestimation in similar setups, while lower probabilities for 18°C+ or 15°C and below capture the remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$14,258Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService and international model consensus point to a high of 16°C in Wellington on August 30 under strengthening northwesterlies and mostly sunny skies, with limited cloud cover and no significant precipitation expected. This aligns with the current mild anomaly for late winter, where regional pressure gradients favor warmer advection from the northwest rather than cooler southerlies. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office reinforces a daytime peak near 16°C, though minor variations in local measurement sites or brief wind shifts could nudge the maximum toward 17°C. Trader positioning on 17°C as the leading outcome reflects this narrow forecast range and historical precedent for slight underestimation in similar setups, while lower probabilities for 18°C+ or 15°C and below capture the remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання