Current ensemble forecasts from sources like the Met Office and regional models point to an overnight low near 31–32°C in Jeddah on August 31, shaped by persistent Red Sea moisture, elevated humidity above 45%, and light northwesterly winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Typical late-summer conditions feature minimal radiative heat loss under partly cloudy skies, keeping minima well above the historical August average of around 29°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C outcomes amid tight clustering of model guidance, while lower-probability bets on 35°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact dew-point suppression or brief wind shifts. Minor model disagreements center on cloud timing and pressure gradients that could alter the precise minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.