Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts project a minimum temperature in the upper 70s°F for Houston on August 31, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 75°F and typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with high humidity. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between an 88°F-or-higher minimum (48.0%) and 69°F-or-below (47.5%) because small shifts in overnight cloud cover, dew-point depression, or weak southeasterly flow can alter the rate of surface cooling by several degrees; urban heat-island effects and model spread in boundary-layer mixing further widen the uncertainty range for the precise daily minimum. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Houston on August 31?
88°F or higher 96%
69°F or below 91%
72-73°F 49%
74-75°F 48%
69°F or below
91%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
48%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
44%
88°F or higher
96%
88°F or higher 96%
69°F or below 91%
72-73°F 49%
74-75°F 48%
69°F or below
91%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
48%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
44%
88°F or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts project a minimum temperature in the upper 70s°F for Houston on August 31, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 75°F and typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with high humidity. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between an 88°F-or-higher minimum (48.0%) and 69°F-or-below (47.5%) because small shifts in overnight cloud cover, dew-point depression, or weak southeasterly flow can alter the rate of surface cooling by several degrees; urban heat-island effects and model spread in boundary-layer mixing further widen the uncertainty range for the precise daily minimum. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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