Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain, with minimum temperatures for Madrid on August 31 centered around 17–19 °C amid a gradual warming trend after late-month cooling. Recent observations indicate stronger nocturnal drops when winds remain light, while urban heat island effects and slight increases in low-level moisture could moderate the low; traders weigh these variables against historical late-August baselines near 18 °C. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Madrid on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 31?
20°C 41%
18°C 29%
26°C or higher 29%
16°C or below 29%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
29%
17°C
23%
18°C
29%
19°C
27%
20°C
41%
21°C
2%
22°C
17%
23°C
16%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
29%
20°C 41%
18°C 29%
26°C or higher 29%
16°C or below 29%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Обс.
29%
17°C
$0 Обс.
23%
18°C
$0 Обс.
29%
19°C
$0 Обс.
27%
20°C
$0 Обс.
41%
21°C
$0 Обс.
2%
22°C
$0 Обс.
17%
23°C
$0 Обс.
16%
24°C
$0 Обс.
6%
25°C
$0 Обс.
6%
26°C or higher
$0 Обс.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain, with minimum temperatures for Madrid on August 31 centered around 17–19 °C amid a gradual warming trend after late-month cooling. Recent observations indicate stronger nocturnal drops when winds remain light, while urban heat island effects and slight increases in low-level moisture could moderate the low; traders weigh these variables against historical late-August baselines near 18 °C. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain, with minimum temperatures for Madrid on August 31 centered around 17–19 °C amid a gradual warming trend after late-month cooling. Recent observations indicate stronger nocturnal drops when winds remain light, while urban heat island effects and slight increases in low-level moisture could moderate the low; traders weigh these variables against historical late-August baselines near 18 °C. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain, with minimum temperatures for Madrid on August 31 centered around 17–19 °C amid a gradual warming trend after late-month cooling. Recent observations indicate stronger nocturnal drops when winds remain light, while urban heat island effects and slight increases in low-level moisture could moderate the low; traders weigh these variables against historical late-August baselines near 18 °C. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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