Wellington's overnight minimum on August 31, 2026, hinges on the strength of northwesterly winds, cloud cover, and any late frontal passage that could limit radiative cooling under clear skies. Current model consensus points to a low near 8–10°C, consistent with typical late-winter conditions where daily minima average about 9°C, though stronger winds may suppress the drop while any clearing raises the risk of colder readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in timing or wind speed can easily move the outcome by 1–2°C, with lower probabilities on extremes reflecting the narrow historical range and limited forecast spread this close to resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
15°C or higher 54%
10°C 30%
7°C 27%
9°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
2%
6°C
16%
7°C
27%
8°C
26%
9°C
27%
10°C
30%
11°C
25%
12°C
3%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
54%
15°C or higher 54%
10°C 30%
7°C 27%
9°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
6°C
$284 Обс.
16%
7°C
$30 Обс.
27%
8°C
$0 Обс.
26%
9°C
$0 Обс.
27%
10°C
$0 Обс.
30%
11°C
$0 Обс.
25%
12°C
$0 Обс.
3%
13°C
$0 Обс.
2%
14°C
$0 Обс.
2%
15°C or higher
$15 Обс.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's overnight minimum on August 31, 2026, hinges on the strength of northwesterly winds, cloud cover, and any late frontal passage that could limit radiative cooling under clear skies. Current model consensus points to a low near 8–10°C, consistent with typical late-winter conditions where daily minima average about 9°C, though stronger winds may suppress the drop while any clearing raises the risk of colder readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in timing or wind speed can easily move the outcome by 1–2°C, with lower probabilities on extremes reflecting the narrow historical range and limited forecast spread this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$329Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's overnight minimum on August 31, 2026, hinges on the strength of northwesterly winds, cloud cover, and any late frontal passage that could limit radiative cooling under clear skies. Current model consensus points to a low near 8–10°C, consistent with typical late-winter conditions where daily minima average about 9°C, though stronger winds may suppress the drop while any clearing raises the risk of colder readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in timing or wind speed can easily move the outcome by 1–2°C, with lower probabilities on extremes reflecting the narrow historical range and limited forecast spread this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$329Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's overnight minimum on August 31, 2026, hinges on the strength of northwesterly winds, cloud cover, and any late frontal passage that could limit radiative cooling under clear skies. Current model consensus points to a low near 8–10°C, consistent with typical late-winter conditions where daily minima average about 9°C, though stronger winds may suppress the drop while any clearing raises the risk of colder readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in timing or wind speed can easily move the outcome by 1–2°C, with lower probabilities on extremes reflecting the narrow historical range and limited forecast spread this close to resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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