Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 30, suppressing daytime heating relative to seasonal norms of 31–32°C. This has shifted trader consensus toward 26–28°C highs, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 28% amid tight clustering. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture advection, reduced insolation from stratiform clouds, and light northerly winds that limit mixing, all of which narrow the plausible range while leaving room for model adjustments if convective development intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
27°C 28%
28°C 23%
26°C 19%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
19%
27°C
28%
28°C
23%
29°C
13%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 28%
28°C 23%
26°C 19%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
24°C
$20 Обс.
1%
25°C
$45 Обс.
7%
26°C
$5 Обс.
19%
27°C
$0 Обс.
28%
28°C
$68 Обс.
23%
29°C
$7 Обс.
13%
30°C
$34 Обс.
12%
31°C
$0 Обс.
3%
32°C
$55 Обс.
3%
33°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 30, suppressing daytime heating relative to seasonal norms of 31–32°C. This has shifted trader consensus toward 26–28°C highs, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 28% amid tight clustering. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture advection, reduced insolation from stratiform clouds, and light northerly winds that limit mixing, all of which narrow the plausible range while leaving room for model adjustments if convective development intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$235Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 30, suppressing daytime heating relative to seasonal norms of 31–32°C. This has shifted trader consensus toward 26–28°C highs, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 28% amid tight clustering. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture advection, reduced insolation from stratiform clouds, and light northerly winds that limit mixing, all of which narrow the plausible range while leaving room for model adjustments if convective development intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$235Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 30, suppressing daytime heating relative to seasonal norms of 31–32°C. This has shifted trader consensus toward 26–28°C highs, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 28% amid tight clustering. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture advection, reduced insolation from stratiform clouds, and light northerly winds that limit mixing, all of which narrow the plausible range while leaving room for model adjustments if convective development intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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