Recent forecasts from GFS and regional models, including IMGW guidance, indicate a high near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow. A weakening high centered over northern Europe is allowing warmer air advection while a weak front approaches from the west, limiting strong daytime heating. Key variables separating the leading outcomes include afternoon cloud fraction that reduces insolation, wind speed modulating boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island enhancement at official stations. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small differences in peak timing or localized clearing can shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, explaining the tight 47.5 %–38.5 % split between 27 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and midday observations tomorrow will further refine the exact peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
27°C 48%
26°C 39%
28°C 10%
25°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
39%
27°C
48%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
26°C 39%
28°C 10%
25°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$256 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$111 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$48 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$13 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$348 Обс.
7%
26°C
$495 Обс.
39%
27°C
$983 Обс.
48%
28°C
$507 Обс.
10%
29°C
$370 Обс.
3%
30°C
$49 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$263 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and regional models, including IMGW guidance, indicate a high near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow. A weakening high centered over northern Europe is allowing warmer air advection while a weak front approaches from the west, limiting strong daytime heating. Key variables separating the leading outcomes include afternoon cloud fraction that reduces insolation, wind speed modulating boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island enhancement at official stations. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small differences in peak timing or localized clearing can shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, explaining the tight 47.5 %–38.5 % split between 27 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and midday observations tomorrow will further refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,443Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and regional models, including IMGW guidance, indicate a high near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow. A weakening high centered over northern Europe is allowing warmer air advection while a weak front approaches from the west, limiting strong daytime heating. Key variables separating the leading outcomes include afternoon cloud fraction that reduces insolation, wind speed modulating boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island enhancement at official stations. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small differences in peak timing or localized clearing can shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, explaining the tight 47.5 %–38.5 % split between 27 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and midday observations tomorrow will further refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,443Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and regional models, including IMGW guidance, indicate a high near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow. A weakening high centered over northern Europe is allowing warmer air advection while a weak front approaches from the west, limiting strong daytime heating. Key variables separating the leading outcomes include afternoon cloud fraction that reduces insolation, wind speed modulating boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island enhancement at official stations. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small differences in peak timing or localized clearing can shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, explaining the tight 47.5 %–38.5 % split between 27 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and midday observations tomorrow will further refine the exact peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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