Recent forecasts from Yandex Weather, Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center, and international models (Met Office, GFS ensembles) converge on a daytime high of 21–22°C for Moscow on August 30 under variable cloudiness and light southerly flow, with possible brief showers. This stable late-August pattern, typical for the region’s climatological baseline near 20–21°C, positions 21°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. No major model shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours, though minor ensemble spreads around cloud cover and wind could allow 20°C or 23°C outcomes. Official station readings will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments providing the last catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
21°C 44%
22°C 27%
20°C 18%
23°C 6%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
44%
22°C
27%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 44%
22°C 27%
20°C 18%
23°C 6%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
44%
22°C
27%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Yandex Weather, Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center, and international models (Met Office, GFS ensembles) converge on a daytime high of 21–22°C for Moscow on August 30 under variable cloudiness and light southerly flow, with possible brief showers. This stable late-August pattern, typical for the region’s climatological baseline near 20–21°C, positions 21°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. No major model shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours, though minor ensemble spreads around cloud cover and wind could allow 20°C or 23°C outcomes. Official station readings will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments providing the last catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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