Forecast models from sources like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international services show Moscow's overnight low on August 30 likely falling in the 9–13°C range, with clear skies and light southerly winds promoting moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 20–23°C. This equilibrium produces closely matched market odds around 10–12°C because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the minimum by 1–2°C through altered longwave radiation loss and boundary-layer mixing. The near-even split between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes reflects residual model spread and historical variability, where August nocturnal temperatures have ranged from 3°C records to milder values under different synoptic patterns. Updated runs from NOAA and local agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
5°C or below 90%
15°C or higher 90%
6°C 50%
14°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
5°C or below
90%
6°C
50%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
50%
15°C or higher
90%
5°C or below 90%
15°C or higher 90%
6°C 50%
14°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
5°C or below
$145 Обс.
90%
6°C
$15 Обс.
50%
7°C
$0 Обс.
26%
8°C
$0 Обс.
26%
9°C
$0 Обс.
26%
10°C
$0 Обс.
27%
11°C
$0 Обс.
27%
12°C
$0 Обс.
27%
13°C
$6 Обс.
26%
14°C
$10 Обс.
50%
15°C or higher
$145 Обс.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international services show Moscow's overnight low on August 30 likely falling in the 9–13°C range, with clear skies and light southerly winds promoting moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 20–23°C. This equilibrium produces closely matched market odds around 10–12°C because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the minimum by 1–2°C through altered longwave radiation loss and boundary-layer mixing. The near-even split between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes reflects residual model spread and historical variability, where August nocturnal temperatures have ranged from 3°C records to milder values under different synoptic patterns. Updated runs from NOAA and local agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$321Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international services show Moscow's overnight low on August 30 likely falling in the 9–13°C range, with clear skies and light southerly winds promoting moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 20–23°C. This equilibrium produces closely matched market odds around 10–12°C because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the minimum by 1–2°C through altered longwave radiation loss and boundary-layer mixing. The near-even split between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes reflects residual model spread and historical variability, where August nocturnal temperatures have ranged from 3°C records to milder values under different synoptic patterns. Updated runs from NOAA and local agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$321Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international services show Moscow's overnight low on August 30 likely falling in the 9–13°C range, with clear skies and light southerly winds promoting moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 20–23°C. This equilibrium produces closely matched market odds around 10–12°C because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the minimum by 1–2°C through altered longwave radiation loss and boundary-layer mixing. The near-even split between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes reflects residual model spread and historical variability, where August nocturnal temperatures have ranged from 3°C records to milder values under different synoptic patterns. Updated runs from NOAA and local agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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