**Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a daytime high of 23°C for Toronto on August 28, 2026, under mainly sunny skies turning partly cloudy, with north-to-south winds around 20 km/h and low precipitation chances.** This aligns closely with the market's dominant 23°C outcome at 64.5% implied probability, alongside secondary support for 22°C (18.5%) and 24°C (16.5%). Late-August climatology features cooling seasonal norms (historical average high near 25°C at Pearson Airport), here reinforced by a cooler air mass and clear overnight conditions yielding morning lows around 14–16°C. Model consensus shows modest afternoon warming limited by partial cloud cover and moderate winds, preventing stronger insolation. No rapid intensification or warm advection is indicated in current guidance, keeping extremes below 25°C or above 21°C unlikely. Traders have priced these narrow outcomes based on verified agency forecasts and real-time observations, reflecting the low uncertainty typical for short-range temperature resolution. Minor model tweaks or microclimate variations at the official station could still influence the exact peak within the 22–24°C band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on August 28?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 28?
23°C 63%
22°C 20%
24°C 16%
25°C 3%
НОВЕ
$10,645 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,645 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
20%
23°C
63%
24°C
16%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 63%
22°C 20%
24°C 16%
25°C 3%
НОВЕ
$10,645 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,645 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$293 Обс.
1%
21°C
$497 Обс.
2%
22°C
$1,402 Обс.
20%
23°C
$2,982 Обс.
63%
24°C
$1,865 Обс.
16%
25°C
$1,236 Обс.
3%
26°C
$1,247 Обс.
2%
27°C
$253 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$341 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$239 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$289 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a daytime high of 23°C for Toronto on August 28, 2026, under mainly sunny skies turning partly cloudy, with north-to-south winds around 20 km/h and low precipitation chances.** This aligns closely with the market's dominant 23°C outcome at 64.5% implied probability, alongside secondary support for 22°C (18.5%) and 24°C (16.5%).
Late-August climatology features cooling seasonal norms (historical average high near 25°C at Pearson Airport), here reinforced by a cooler air mass and clear overnight conditions yielding morning lows around 14–16°C. Model consensus shows modest afternoon warming limited by partial cloud cover and moderate winds, preventing stronger insolation. No rapid intensification or warm advection is indicated in current guidance, keeping extremes below 25°C or above 21°C unlikely.
Traders have priced these narrow outcomes based on verified agency forecasts and real-time observations, reflecting the low uncertainty typical for short-range temperature resolution. Minor model tweaks or microclimate variations at the official station could still influence the exact peak within the 22–24°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,645Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a daytime high of 23°C for Toronto on August 28, 2026, under mainly sunny skies turning partly cloudy, with north-to-south winds around 20 km/h and low precipitation chances.** This aligns closely with the market's dominant 23°C outcome at 64.5% implied probability, alongside secondary support for 22°C (18.5%) and 24°C (16.5%).
Late-August climatology features cooling seasonal norms (historical average high near 25°C at Pearson Airport), here reinforced by a cooler air mass and clear overnight conditions yielding morning lows around 14–16°C. Model consensus shows modest afternoon warming limited by partial cloud cover and moderate winds, preventing stronger insolation. No rapid intensification or warm advection is indicated in current guidance, keeping extremes below 25°C or above 21°C unlikely.
Traders have priced these narrow outcomes based on verified agency forecasts and real-time observations, reflecting the low uncertainty typical for short-range temperature resolution. Minor model tweaks or microclimate variations at the official station could still influence the exact peak within the 22–24°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,645Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a daytime high of 23°C for Toronto on August 28, 2026, under mainly sunny skies turning partly cloudy, with north-to-south winds around 20 km/h and low precipitation chances.** This aligns closely with the market's dominant 23°C outcome at 64.5% implied probability, alongside secondary support for 22°C (18.5%) and 24°C (16.5%). Late-August climatology features cooling seasonal norms (historical average high near 25°C at Pearson Airport), here reinforced by a cooler air mass and clear overnight conditions yielding morning lows around 14–16°C. Model consensus shows modest afternoon warming limited by partial cloud cover and moderate winds, preventing stronger insolation. No rapid intensification or warm advection is indicated in current guidance, keeping extremes below 25°C or above 21°C unlikely. Traders have priced these narrow outcomes based on verified agency forecasts and real-time observations, reflecting the low uncertainty typical for short-range temperature resolution. Minor model tweaks or microclimate variations at the official station could still influence the exact peak within the 22–24°C band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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