Recent model consensus and Met Office guidance point to showery conditions with moderate southwesterly flow on August 28, limiting surface heating and favoring a daily maximum near 22°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and stronger winds enhance mixing and evaporative cooling, preventing the higher readings seen earlier in the week. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 22–23°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around convective timing and any brief sunny breaks that could add 1–2°C. Official forecasts currently cluster at 22°C, with upside risk to 24°C only if showers arrive later than modeled; downside to 21°C or below remains low given the warm air mass in place. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the weekend will likely refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 28?
Highest temperature in London on August 28?
23°C 32%
22°C 28%
24°C 18%
21°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
28%
23°C
32%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
8%
23°C 32%
22°C 28%
24°C 18%
21°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
$289 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$215 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$205 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$5 Обс.
3%
19°C
$52 Обс.
2%
20°C
$94 Обс.
6%
21°C
$215 Обс.
14%
22°C
$276 Обс.
28%
23°C
$420 Обс.
32%
24°C
$214 Обс.
18%
25°C or higher
$310 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and Met Office guidance point to showery conditions with moderate southwesterly flow on August 28, limiting surface heating and favoring a daily maximum near 22°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and stronger winds enhance mixing and evaporative cooling, preventing the higher readings seen earlier in the week. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 22–23°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around convective timing and any brief sunny breaks that could add 1–2°C. Official forecasts currently cluster at 22°C, with upside risk to 24°C only if showers arrive later than modeled; downside to 21°C or below remains low given the warm air mass in place. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the weekend will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,294Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and Met Office guidance point to showery conditions with moderate southwesterly flow on August 28, limiting surface heating and favoring a daily maximum near 22°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and stronger winds enhance mixing and evaporative cooling, preventing the higher readings seen earlier in the week. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 22–23°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around convective timing and any brief sunny breaks that could add 1–2°C. Official forecasts currently cluster at 22°C, with upside risk to 24°C only if showers arrive later than modeled; downside to 21°C or below remains low given the warm air mass in place. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the weekend will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,294Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and Met Office guidance point to showery conditions with moderate southwesterly flow on August 28, limiting surface heating and favoring a daily maximum near 22°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and stronger winds enhance mixing and evaporative cooling, preventing the higher readings seen earlier in the week. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 22–23°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around convective timing and any brief sunny breaks that could add 1–2°C. Official forecasts currently cluster at 22°C, with upside risk to 24°C only if showers arrive later than modeled; downside to 21°C or below remains low given the warm air mass in place. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the weekend will likely refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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