Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 30 indicate highs near 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies, following several days of scattered rain and thunderstorms that suppressed temperatures into the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Subtropical monsoon influences, basin topography trapping humidity, and light winds limit daytime heating while cloud cover and residual moisture introduce variability in peak values. Numerical models show modest spread around maximum solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping implied probabilities clustered at 32–34°C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration or refined regional ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift resolution odds if convection strengthens or clears more rapidly than anticipated.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
33°C 22%
34°C 22%
32°C 18%
31°C 11%
28°C or below
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
18%
33°C
22%
34°C
22%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 22%
34°C 22%
32°C 18%
31°C 11%
28°C or below
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
18%
33°C
22%
34°C
22%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 30 indicate highs near 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies, following several days of scattered rain and thunderstorms that suppressed temperatures into the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Subtropical monsoon influences, basin topography trapping humidity, and light winds limit daytime heating while cloud cover and residual moisture introduce variability in peak values. Numerical models show modest spread around maximum solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping implied probabilities clustered at 32–34°C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration or refined regional ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift resolution odds if convection strengthens or clears more rapidly than anticipated.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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