**Marine layer persistence and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current are the dominant factors capping San Francisco's highest temperature on August 30 near the mid-to-upper 60s.** Official National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for the San Francisco International Airport station (the market resolution source) call for partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with a high around 66°F, supported by southwest winds of 5–15 mph and coastal waters remaining near 55–58°F due to upwelling. This typical late-summer setup, reinforced by sea breezes tied to Central Valley heating, reliably suppresses maxima below the 69.8°F climatological average for the date. **Trader positioning in the 66–69°F range (over 85% combined implied probability) reflects minor model spread around afternoon clearing and wind strength.** Any temporary thinning of the marine stratus or lighter flow could add 2–3°F, while sustained onshore influence favors the lower end. Recent forecasts have shown little day-to-day shift, with the 68–69°F bin leading at 36.5% amid this narrow uncertainty band. Historical analogs indicate coastal maxima rarely exceed the low 70s under similar patterns, keeping higher bins at negligible odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
$316 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$115 Обс.
2%
62-63°F
$41 Обс.
4%
64-65°F
$179 Обс.
9%
66-67°F
$286 Обс.
22%
68-69°F
$386 Обс.
37%
70-71°F
$940 Обс.
26%
72-73°F
$406 Обс.
4%
74-75°F
$103 Обс.
2%
76-77°F
$25 Обс.
1%
78°F or higher
$226 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer persistence and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current are the dominant factors capping San Francisco's highest temperature on August 30 near the mid-to-upper 60s.** Official National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for the San Francisco International Airport station (the market resolution source) call for partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with a high around 66°F, supported by southwest winds of 5–15 mph and coastal waters remaining near 55–58°F due to upwelling. This typical late-summer setup, reinforced by sea breezes tied to Central Valley heating, reliably suppresses maxima below the 69.8°F climatological average for the date.
**Trader positioning in the 66–69°F range (over 85% combined implied probability) reflects minor model spread around afternoon clearing and wind strength.** Any temporary thinning of the marine stratus or lighter flow could add 2–3°F, while sustained onshore influence favors the lower end. Recent forecasts have shown little day-to-day shift, with the 68–69°F bin leading at 36.5% amid this narrow uncertainty band. Historical analogs indicate coastal maxima rarely exceed the low 70s under similar patterns, keeping higher bins at negligible odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,025Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer persistence and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current are the dominant factors capping San Francisco's highest temperature on August 30 near the mid-to-upper 60s.** Official National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for the San Francisco International Airport station (the market resolution source) call for partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with a high around 66°F, supported by southwest winds of 5–15 mph and coastal waters remaining near 55–58°F due to upwelling. This typical late-summer setup, reinforced by sea breezes tied to Central Valley heating, reliably suppresses maxima below the 69.8°F climatological average for the date.
**Trader positioning in the 66–69°F range (over 85% combined implied probability) reflects minor model spread around afternoon clearing and wind strength.** Any temporary thinning of the marine stratus or lighter flow could add 2–3°F, while sustained onshore influence favors the lower end. Recent forecasts have shown little day-to-day shift, with the 68–69°F bin leading at 36.5% amid this narrow uncertainty band. Historical analogs indicate coastal maxima rarely exceed the low 70s under similar patterns, keeping higher bins at negligible odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,025Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer persistence and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current are the dominant factors capping San Francisco's highest temperature on August 30 near the mid-to-upper 60s.** Official National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for the San Francisco International Airport station (the market resolution source) call for partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with a high around 66°F, supported by southwest winds of 5–15 mph and coastal waters remaining near 55–58°F due to upwelling. This typical late-summer setup, reinforced by sea breezes tied to Central Valley heating, reliably suppresses maxima below the 69.8°F climatological average for the date. **Trader positioning in the 66–69°F range (over 85% combined implied probability) reflects minor model spread around afternoon clearing and wind strength.** Any temporary thinning of the marine stratus or lighter flow could add 2–3°F, while sustained onshore influence favors the lower end. Recent forecasts have shown little day-to-day shift, with the 68–69°F bin leading at 36.5% amid this narrow uncertainty band. Historical analogs indicate coastal maxima rarely exceed the low 70s under similar patterns, keeping higher bins at negligible odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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