Latest official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on August 30, with partly cloudy skies, afternoon convective showers, and light northeasterly winds. These conditions create tight uncertainty between 24 °C and 25 °C because modest differences in cloud timing, rainfall onset, or urban heat retention at the city’s 2,240 m elevation can shift the daily peak by 1 °C. Global models show limited spread, keeping 26 °C or higher at lower implied odds, while historical late-August climatology centers near 23–24 °C. Updated SMN and international model runs tonight will provide the final data traders are weighting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
24°C 38%
25°C 37%
26°C or higher 15%
23°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
38%
25°C
37%
26°C or higher
15%
24°C 38%
25°C 37%
26°C or higher 15%
23°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
38%
25°C
37%
26°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on August 30, with partly cloudy skies, afternoon convective showers, and light northeasterly winds. These conditions create tight uncertainty between 24 °C and 25 °C because modest differences in cloud timing, rainfall onset, or urban heat retention at the city’s 2,240 m elevation can shift the daily peak by 1 °C. Global models show limited spread, keeping 26 °C or higher at lower implied odds, while historical late-August climatology centers near 23–24 °C. Updated SMN and international model runs tonight will provide the final data traders are weighting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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