Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao's August 30 maximum will likely fall in the 27–29°C range, driven by a shift to northerly winds that advect cooler, drier air while scattered convection and variable cloud cover limit peak insolation. Historical August averages near 28–29°C provide context, but the current transition away from subtropical high influence introduces uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any showers or sea-breeze effects. Market-implied probabilities, with 28°C leading at 33.5% followed closely by 27°C and 29°C, reflect this narrow spread and genuine forecast dispersion typical for coastal sites two days ahead. Updated model runs and official guidance will clarify resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
28°C 34%
27°C 27%
29°C 20%
26°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
27%
28°C
34%
29°C
20%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 34%
27°C 27%
29°C 20%
26°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$46 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
1%
26°C
$199 Обс.
10%
27°C
$37 Обс.
27%
28°C
$0 Обс.
34%
29°C
$148 Обс.
20%
30°C
$58 Обс.
8%
31°C
$67 Обс.
5%
32°C
$83 Обс.
2%
33°C or higher
$5 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao's August 30 maximum will likely fall in the 27–29°C range, driven by a shift to northerly winds that advect cooler, drier air while scattered convection and variable cloud cover limit peak insolation. Historical August averages near 28–29°C provide context, but the current transition away from subtropical high influence introduces uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any showers or sea-breeze effects. Market-implied probabilities, with 28°C leading at 33.5% followed closely by 27°C and 29°C, reflect this narrow spread and genuine forecast dispersion typical for coastal sites two days ahead. Updated model runs and official guidance will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$644Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao's August 30 maximum will likely fall in the 27–29°C range, driven by a shift to northerly winds that advect cooler, drier air while scattered convection and variable cloud cover limit peak insolation. Historical August averages near 28–29°C provide context, but the current transition away from subtropical high influence introduces uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any showers or sea-breeze effects. Market-implied probabilities, with 28°C leading at 33.5% followed closely by 27°C and 29°C, reflect this narrow spread and genuine forecast dispersion typical for coastal sites two days ahead. Updated model runs and official guidance will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$644Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao's August 30 maximum will likely fall in the 27–29°C range, driven by a shift to northerly winds that advect cooler, drier air while scattered convection and variable cloud cover limit peak insolation. Historical August averages near 28–29°C provide context, but the current transition away from subtropical high influence introduces uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any showers or sea-breeze effects. Market-implied probabilities, with 28°C leading at 33.5% followed closely by 27°C and 29°C, reflect this narrow spread and genuine forecast dispersion typical for coastal sites two days ahead. Updated model runs and official guidance will clarify resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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