**Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to overnight lows in Qingdao on August 30 falling into the 19–21°C range, supporting the market's leading implied probability of 48% for 19°C or below.** Multiple model runs, including those referenced in Worldmeteo, PredictWind, and regional summaries, show daytime highs near 26–28°C giving way to clearer or partly cloudy conditions overnight with northerly or northeasterly flow, promoting radiational cooling under reduced cloud cover. This aligns with a broader late-August cooling trend evident in recent days, as temperatures have eased from earlier peaks near 24–27°C lows toward values below the seasonal climatological average of ~22°C. Key variables include potential scattered precipitation earlier in the period (which can limit cooling) versus clearer skies favoring lower minima, plus wind patterns that enhance advection of cooler continental air. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily, where uncertainty remains modest but could shift if a stronger low-level jet or increased cloudiness develops. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in the Yellow Sea region further reinforce the potential for sub-22°C readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
19°C or below 93%
26°C 50%
20°C 49%
25°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
93%
20°C
49%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
2%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C or higher
46%
19°C or below 93%
26°C 50%
20°C 49%
25°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Обс.
93%
20°C
$0 Обс.
49%
21°C
$0 Обс.
25%
22°C
$0 Обс.
26%
23°C
$0 Обс.
26%
24°C
$0 Обс.
2%
25°C
$0 Обс.
49%
26°C
$0 Обс.
50%
27°C
$0 Обс.
49%
28°C
$0 Обс.
49%
29°C or higher
$0 Обс.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to overnight lows in Qingdao on August 30 falling into the 19–21°C range, supporting the market's leading implied probability of 48% for 19°C or below.** Multiple model runs, including those referenced in Worldmeteo, PredictWind, and regional summaries, show daytime highs near 26–28°C giving way to clearer or partly cloudy conditions overnight with northerly or northeasterly flow, promoting radiational cooling under reduced cloud cover.
This aligns with a broader late-August cooling trend evident in recent days, as temperatures have eased from earlier peaks near 24–27°C lows toward values below the seasonal climatological average of ~22°C. Key variables include potential scattered precipitation earlier in the period (which can limit cooling) versus clearer skies favoring lower minima, plus wind patterns that enhance advection of cooler continental air. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily, where uncertainty remains modest but could shift if a stronger low-level jet or increased cloudiness develops. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in the Yellow Sea region further reinforce the potential for sub-22°C readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to overnight lows in Qingdao on August 30 falling into the 19–21°C range, supporting the market's leading implied probability of 48% for 19°C or below.** Multiple model runs, including those referenced in Worldmeteo, PredictWind, and regional summaries, show daytime highs near 26–28°C giving way to clearer or partly cloudy conditions overnight with northerly or northeasterly flow, promoting radiational cooling under reduced cloud cover.
This aligns with a broader late-August cooling trend evident in recent days, as temperatures have eased from earlier peaks near 24–27°C lows toward values below the seasonal climatological average of ~22°C. Key variables include potential scattered precipitation earlier in the period (which can limit cooling) versus clearer skies favoring lower minima, plus wind patterns that enhance advection of cooler continental air. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily, where uncertainty remains modest but could shift if a stronger low-level jet or increased cloudiness develops. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in the Yellow Sea region further reinforce the potential for sub-22°C readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to overnight lows in Qingdao on August 30 falling into the 19–21°C range, supporting the market's leading implied probability of 48% for 19°C or below.** Multiple model runs, including those referenced in Worldmeteo, PredictWind, and regional summaries, show daytime highs near 26–28°C giving way to clearer or partly cloudy conditions overnight with northerly or northeasterly flow, promoting radiational cooling under reduced cloud cover. This aligns with a broader late-August cooling trend evident in recent days, as temperatures have eased from earlier peaks near 24–27°C lows toward values below the seasonal climatological average of ~22°C. Key variables include potential scattered precipitation earlier in the period (which can limit cooling) versus clearer skies favoring lower minima, plus wind patterns that enhance advection of cooler continental air. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily, where uncertainty remains modest but could shift if a stronger low-level jet or increased cloudiness develops. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in the Yellow Sea region further reinforce the potential for sub-22°C readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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