Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on peak temperatures of 32–33°C for Beijing on August 30 under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and high pressure that maximizes daytime insolation while limiting cloud cover or moisture. Recent heavy rainfall and cooler air masses through late August have given way to drier conditions, allowing rapid surface heating; hourly guidance shows the daily maximum likely occurring mid-afternoon when dew points drop and solar angles remain high. The tight spread between 32°C and 33°C in market-implied odds reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak warmth rather than any large-scale uncertainty. Official resolution will depend on verified observations from Beijing stations, with little risk of deviation outside this narrow band absent an unexpected frontal passage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
33°C 39%
32°C 34%
34°C 10%
31°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
34%
33°C
39%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 39%
32°C 34%
34°C 10%
31°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$105 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$243 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$403 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
1%
30°C
$248 Обс.
3%
31°C
$295 Обс.
10%
32°C
$365 Обс.
34%
33°C
$509 Обс.
39%
34°C
$464 Обс.
10%
35°C
$27 Обс.
3%
36°C or higher
$84 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on peak temperatures of 32–33°C for Beijing on August 30 under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and high pressure that maximizes daytime insolation while limiting cloud cover or moisture. Recent heavy rainfall and cooler air masses through late August have given way to drier conditions, allowing rapid surface heating; hourly guidance shows the daily maximum likely occurring mid-afternoon when dew points drop and solar angles remain high. The tight spread between 32°C and 33°C in market-implied odds reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak warmth rather than any large-scale uncertainty. Official resolution will depend on verified observations from Beijing stations, with little risk of deviation outside this narrow band absent an unexpected frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,742Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on peak temperatures of 32–33°C for Beijing on August 30 under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and high pressure that maximizes daytime insolation while limiting cloud cover or moisture. Recent heavy rainfall and cooler air masses through late August have given way to drier conditions, allowing rapid surface heating; hourly guidance shows the daily maximum likely occurring mid-afternoon when dew points drop and solar angles remain high. The tight spread between 32°C and 33°C in market-implied odds reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak warmth rather than any large-scale uncertainty. Official resolution will depend on verified observations from Beijing stations, with little risk of deviation outside this narrow band absent an unexpected frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,742Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on peak temperatures of 32–33°C for Beijing on August 30 under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and high pressure that maximizes daytime insolation while limiting cloud cover or moisture. Recent heavy rainfall and cooler air masses through late August have given way to drier conditions, allowing rapid surface heating; hourly guidance shows the daily maximum likely occurring mid-afternoon when dew points drop and solar angles remain high. The tight spread between 32°C and 33°C in market-implied odds reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak warmth rather than any large-scale uncertainty. Official resolution will depend on verified observations from Beijing stations, with little risk of deviation outside this narrow band absent an unexpected frontal passage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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