**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 30, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea.** This setup favors afternoon convection that limits solar heating and caps the daily maximum near 31°C, consistent with late-August climatology where mean highs reach about 31°C amid high humidity (75-95%) and weak southwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce the urban heat island amplification typical of clear, calm subtropical summer days, while sea surface temperatures near 26°C provide limited additional warming. Trader consensus clustering around 30-31°C reflects this forecast consensus, with slight weighting toward 30°C possibly incorporating model runs emphasizing heavier showers or earlier rain onset that could suppress peaks further. New observational data and updated model guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria tomorrow.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
30°C 40%
31°C 29%
29°C 18%
32°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
18%
30°C
40%
31°C
29%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 29%
29°C 18%
32°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$125 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$382 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,277 Обс.
3%
29°C
$460 Обс.
18%
30°C
$1,386 Обс.
40%
31°C
$775 Обс.
29%
32°C
$492 Обс.
9%
33°C
$207 Обс.
4%
34°C
$299 Обс.
1%
35°C
$173 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$121 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 30, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea.** This setup favors afternoon convection that limits solar heating and caps the daily maximum near 31°C, consistent with late-August climatology where mean highs reach about 31°C amid high humidity (75-95%) and weak southwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce the urban heat island amplification typical of clear, calm subtropical summer days, while sea surface temperatures near 26°C provide limited additional warming. Trader consensus clustering around 30-31°C reflects this forecast consensus, with slight weighting toward 30°C possibly incorporating model runs emphasizing heavier showers or earlier rain onset that could suppress peaks further. New observational data and updated model guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,697Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 30, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea.** This setup favors afternoon convection that limits solar heating and caps the daily maximum near 31°C, consistent with late-August climatology where mean highs reach about 31°C amid high humidity (75-95%) and weak southwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce the urban heat island amplification typical of clear, calm subtropical summer days, while sea surface temperatures near 26°C provide limited additional warming. Trader consensus clustering around 30-31°C reflects this forecast consensus, with slight weighting toward 30°C possibly incorporating model runs emphasizing heavier showers or earlier rain onset that could suppress peaks further. New observational data and updated model guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,697Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 30, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea.** This setup favors afternoon convection that limits solar heating and caps the daily maximum near 31°C, consistent with late-August climatology where mean highs reach about 31°C amid high humidity (75-95%) and weak southwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce the urban heat island amplification typical of clear, calm subtropical summer days, while sea surface temperatures near 26°C provide limited additional warming. Trader consensus clustering around 30-31°C reflects this forecast consensus, with slight weighting toward 30°C possibly incorporating model runs emphasizing heavier showers or earlier rain onset that could suppress peaks further. New observational data and updated model guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria tomorrow.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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