Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall near 25–26°C amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity near 90%, and persistent cloud cover associated with late-summer monsoon flow. These conditions limit radiational cooling while scattered heavy rain may produce localized evaporative effects, keeping the minimum within a narrow range around the seasonal baseline of 25°C. Traders appear to weigh slight model disagreements on exact cloud thickness and rainfall timing, which could nudge the reading one degree either way, against the low probability of clearer skies or stronger cooling that would push readings to 24°C or below. Updated runs expected before resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
22°C or below 81%
32°C or higher 79%
26°C 49%
25°C 47%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
81%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
47%
26°C
49%
27°C
30%
28°C
43%
29°C
47%
30°C
2%
31°C
45%
32°C or higher
79%
22°C or below 81%
32°C or higher 79%
26°C 49%
25°C 47%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
81%
23°C
$0 Обс.
40%
24°C
$0 Обс.
40%
25°C
$0 Обс.
47%
26°C
$0 Обс.
49%
27°C
$0 Обс.
30%
28°C
$0 Обс.
43%
29°C
$0 Обс.
47%
30°C
$0 Обс.
2%
31°C
$0 Обс.
45%
32°C or higher
$130 Обс.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall near 25–26°C amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity near 90%, and persistent cloud cover associated with late-summer monsoon flow. These conditions limit radiational cooling while scattered heavy rain may produce localized evaporative effects, keeping the minimum within a narrow range around the seasonal baseline of 25°C. Traders appear to weigh slight model disagreements on exact cloud thickness and rainfall timing, which could nudge the reading one degree either way, against the low probability of clearer skies or stronger cooling that would push readings to 24°C or below. Updated runs expected before resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall near 25–26°C amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity near 90%, and persistent cloud cover associated with late-summer monsoon flow. These conditions limit radiational cooling while scattered heavy rain may produce localized evaporative effects, keeping the minimum within a narrow range around the seasonal baseline of 25°C. Traders appear to weigh slight model disagreements on exact cloud thickness and rainfall timing, which could nudge the reading one degree either way, against the low probability of clearer skies or stronger cooling that would push readings to 24°C or below. Updated runs expected before resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall near 25–26°C amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity near 90%, and persistent cloud cover associated with late-summer monsoon flow. These conditions limit radiational cooling while scattered heavy rain may produce localized evaporative effects, keeping the minimum within a narrow range around the seasonal baseline of 25°C. Traders appear to weigh slight model disagreements on exact cloud thickness and rainfall timing, which could nudge the reading one degree either way, against the low probability of clearer skies or stronger cooling that would push readings to 24°C or below. Updated runs expected before resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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