Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity from the East Asian monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Shenzhen, positioning the lowest temperature on August 30 near 25–26 °C according to consensus forecasts. Multiple model runs and local observations show the city remaining under a moist, overcast regime with light winds and dew points near 25 °C, preventing the typical nocturnal drop seen in clearer conditions. Trader sentiment favors these thresholds because recent days have delivered similar minima amid active convection, while historical August averages for the region cluster around 25 °C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any overnight radar trends on convective intensity will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
25°C 78%
26°C 53%
24°C 50%
29°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
10%
24°C
50%
25°C
78%
26°C
53%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
50%
31°C
50%
32°C
40%
33°C or higher
47%
25°C 78%
26°C 53%
24°C 50%
29°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$16 Обс.
10%
24°C
$10 Обс.
50%
25°C
$10 Обс.
78%
26°C
$0 Обс.
53%
27°C
$0 Обс.
27%
28°C
$0 Обс.
27%
29°C
$10 Обс.
50%
30°C
$10 Обс.
50%
31°C
$10 Обс.
50%
32°C
$145 Обс.
40%
33°C or higher
$5 Обс.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity from the East Asian monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Shenzhen, positioning the lowest temperature on August 30 near 25–26 °C according to consensus forecasts. Multiple model runs and local observations show the city remaining under a moist, overcast regime with light winds and dew points near 25 °C, preventing the typical nocturnal drop seen in clearer conditions. Trader sentiment favors these thresholds because recent days have delivered similar minima amid active convection, while historical August averages for the region cluster around 25 °C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any overnight radar trends on convective intensity will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$216Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity from the East Asian monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Shenzhen, positioning the lowest temperature on August 30 near 25–26 °C according to consensus forecasts. Multiple model runs and local observations show the city remaining under a moist, overcast regime with light winds and dew points near 25 °C, preventing the typical nocturnal drop seen in clearer conditions. Trader sentiment favors these thresholds because recent days have delivered similar minima amid active convection, while historical August averages for the region cluster around 25 °C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any overnight radar trends on convective intensity will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$216Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity from the East Asian monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Shenzhen, positioning the lowest temperature on August 30 near 25–26 °C according to consensus forecasts. Multiple model runs and local observations show the city remaining under a moist, overcast regime with light winds and dew points near 25 °C, preventing the typical nocturnal drop seen in clearer conditions. Trader sentiment favors these thresholds because recent days have delivered similar minima amid active convection, while historical August averages for the region cluster around 25 °C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any overnight radar trends on convective intensity will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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