Recent forecasts from multiple models project Tokyo's overnight low on August 31 near 23–24 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and a relatively cool, humid air mass following several days of rain and below-average daytime highs. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while maintaining dew points in the low 20s °C, keeping minimum temperatures from falling below historical late-August averages of roughly 23–25 °C. Trader emphasis on 24 °C (47.5 %) and 25 °C (34.5 %) reflects the tight clustering of ensemble guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 23 °C or warmer outcomes as uncertainty remains modest but non-zero ahead of final model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
24°C 42%
25°C 35%
23°C 25%
27°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
15%
22°C
14%
23°C
25%
24°C
42%
25°C
35%
26°C
13%
27°C
16%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
25°C 35%
23°C 25%
27°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
21°C
$0 Обс.
15%
22°C
$0 Обс.
14%
23°C
$41 Обс.
25%
24°C
$82 Обс.
42%
25°C
$104 Обс.
35%
26°C
$0 Обс.
13%
27°C
$0 Обс.
16%
28°C
$0 Обс.
8%
29°C
$0 Обс.
2%
30°C or higher
$21 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project Tokyo's overnight low on August 31 near 23–24 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and a relatively cool, humid air mass following several days of rain and below-average daytime highs. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while maintaining dew points in the low 20s °C, keeping minimum temperatures from falling below historical late-August averages of roughly 23–25 °C. Trader emphasis on 24 °C (47.5 %) and 25 °C (34.5 %) reflects the tight clustering of ensemble guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 23 °C or warmer outcomes as uncertainty remains modest but non-zero ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$248Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project Tokyo's overnight low on August 31 near 23–24 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and a relatively cool, humid air mass following several days of rain and below-average daytime highs. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while maintaining dew points in the low 20s °C, keeping minimum temperatures from falling below historical late-August averages of roughly 23–25 °C. Trader emphasis on 24 °C (47.5 %) and 25 °C (34.5 %) reflects the tight clustering of ensemble guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 23 °C or warmer outcomes as uncertainty remains modest but non-zero ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$248Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models project Tokyo's overnight low on August 31 near 23–24 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and a relatively cool, humid air mass following several days of rain and below-average daytime highs. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while maintaining dew points in the low 20s °C, keeping minimum temperatures from falling below historical late-August averages of roughly 23–25 °C. Trader emphasis on 24 °C (47.5 %) and 25 °C (34.5 %) reflects the tight clustering of ensemble guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 23 °C or warmer outcomes as uncertainty remains modest but non-zero ahead of final model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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