Recent forecast models from agencies monitoring the region indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely settle near 19–21 °C, driven by persistent northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling compared with typical August conditions. These factors have shifted trader consensus toward 21 °C as the most probable daily low, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited further cooling overnight. Historical August minima average 20–23 °C, but current anomalies of 4–6 °C below seasonal norms reinforce the elevated probability for readings at or just above 20 °C while keeping lower thresholds below 10 % implied odds. Updated model runs and station observations through the evening will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 29?
21°C 95%
17°C 2%
18°C 2%
15°C or below <1%
$1,201 Обс.
$1,201 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
35%
20°C
43%
21°C
95%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 95%
17°C 2%
18°C 2%
15°C or below <1%
$1,201 Обс.
$1,201 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
$225 Обс.
1%
16°C
$95 Обс.
1%
17°C
$32 Обс.
2%
18°C
$95 Обс.
2%
19°C
$35 Обс.
35%
20°C
$30 Обс.
43%
21°C
$350 Обс.
95%
22°C
$225 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$50 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$20 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$43 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies monitoring the region indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely settle near 19–21 °C, driven by persistent northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling compared with typical August conditions. These factors have shifted trader consensus toward 21 °C as the most probable daily low, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited further cooling overnight. Historical August minima average 20–23 °C, but current anomalies of 4–6 °C below seasonal norms reinforce the elevated probability for readings at or just above 20 °C while keeping lower thresholds below 10 % implied odds. Updated model runs and station observations through the evening will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,201Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies monitoring the region indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely settle near 19–21 °C, driven by persistent northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling compared with typical August conditions. These factors have shifted trader consensus toward 21 °C as the most probable daily low, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited further cooling overnight. Historical August minima average 20–23 °C, but current anomalies of 4–6 °C below seasonal norms reinforce the elevated probability for readings at or just above 20 °C while keeping lower thresholds below 10 % implied odds. Updated model runs and station observations through the evening will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,201Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies monitoring the region indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely settle near 19–21 °C, driven by persistent northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling compared with typical August conditions. These factors have shifted trader consensus toward 21 °C as the most probable daily low, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited further cooling overnight. Historical August minima average 20–23 °C, but current anomalies of 4–6 °C below seasonal norms reinforce the elevated probability for readings at or just above 20 °C while keeping lower thresholds below 10 % implied odds. Updated model runs and station observations through the evening will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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