Recent monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and elevated humidity levels reported by the India Meteorological Department, is capping daytime heating and creating tight odds between a 32°C and 33°C high on August 29. Official forecasts show model divergence on the timing and extent of convective rainfall, which can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while maintaining minimums near 27–28°C. Historical late-August baselines for Lucknow average 31–34°C under similar monsoon regimes, and the current 2–4°C rise projected in maximums over the next few days aligns with trader clustering around these two outcomes. Updated IMD guidance and satellite observations of cloud bands will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
32°C 33%
33°C 29%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
33%
33°C
29%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 33%
33°C 29%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
33%
33°C
29%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and elevated humidity levels reported by the India Meteorological Department, is capping daytime heating and creating tight odds between a 32°C and 33°C high on August 29. Official forecasts show model divergence on the timing and extent of convective rainfall, which can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while maintaining minimums near 27–28°C. Historical late-August baselines for Lucknow average 31–34°C under similar monsoon regimes, and the current 2–4°C rise projected in maximums over the next few days aligns with trader clustering around these two outcomes. Updated IMD guidance and satellite observations of cloud bands will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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