Recent forecasts from European models highlight persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds as the dominant influences moderating overnight cooling in Amsterdam on August 29. High humidity and dew points near 12–14°C reduce radiative heat loss, while frontal activity and Atlantic air advection support minimum temperatures clustering around 14–17°C. Model consensus shows slight divergence on exact timing of showers and wind gusts, which could either enhance mixing or allow brief clearer intervals for greater cooling. Trader sentiment, with 15°C leading at 30.5% implied probability and 16–17°C closely behind, reflects this narrow uncertainty range amid typical late-summer variability and historical August lows near 12–13°C. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
15°C 31%
17°C 27%
16°C 26%
18°C 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
8%
13°C
15%
14°C
9%
15°C
31%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
25%
19°C
15%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
4%
15°C 31%
17°C 27%
16°C 26%
18°C 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Обс.
8%
13°C
$64 Обс.
15%
14°C
$0 Обс.
9%
15°C
$0 Обс.
31%
16°C
$0 Обс.
26%
17°C
$0 Обс.
27%
18°C
$0 Обс.
25%
19°C
$5 Обс.
15%
20°C
$5 Обс.
8%
21°C
$5 Обс.
2%
22°C or higher
$5 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models highlight persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds as the dominant influences moderating overnight cooling in Amsterdam on August 29. High humidity and dew points near 12–14°C reduce radiative heat loss, while frontal activity and Atlantic air advection support minimum temperatures clustering around 14–17°C. Model consensus shows slight divergence on exact timing of showers and wind gusts, which could either enhance mixing or allow brief clearer intervals for greater cooling. Trader sentiment, with 15°C leading at 30.5% implied probability and 16–17°C closely behind, reflects this narrow uncertainty range amid typical late-summer variability and historical August lows near 12–13°C. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$89Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models highlight persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds as the dominant influences moderating overnight cooling in Amsterdam on August 29. High humidity and dew points near 12–14°C reduce radiative heat loss, while frontal activity and Atlantic air advection support minimum temperatures clustering around 14–17°C. Model consensus shows slight divergence on exact timing of showers and wind gusts, which could either enhance mixing or allow brief clearer intervals for greater cooling. Trader sentiment, with 15°C leading at 30.5% implied probability and 16–17°C closely behind, reflects this narrow uncertainty range amid typical late-summer variability and historical August lows near 12–13°C. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$89Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models highlight persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds as the dominant influences moderating overnight cooling in Amsterdam on August 29. High humidity and dew points near 12–14°C reduce radiative heat loss, while frontal activity and Atlantic air advection support minimum temperatures clustering around 14–17°C. Model consensus shows slight divergence on exact timing of showers and wind gusts, which could either enhance mixing or allow brief clearer intervals for greater cooling. Trader sentiment, with 15°C leading at 30.5% implied probability and 16–17°C closely behind, reflects this narrow uncertainty range amid typical late-summer variability and historical August lows near 12–13°C. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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