Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast winds overnight into August 27, supporting radiative cooling and minimum temperatures in the mid-60s°F for Chicago. This consensus aligns with trader emphasis on the 62–67°F bins, which together capture over 80% of market-implied probability. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from small variations in forecast cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can alter the rate of nocturnal cooling by 1–3°F. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 65°F, providing context for the tight clustering around this range amid limited uncertainty before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chicago on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 27?
64-65°F 34%
62-63°F 29%
66-67°F 27%
58-59°F 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
55°F or below
9%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
9%
64-65°F 34%
62-63°F 29%
66-67°F 27%
58-59°F 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
55°F or below
$32 Обс.
9%
56-57°F
$22 Обс.
17%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
26%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
29%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
34%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
27%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
2%
74°F or higher
$17 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast winds overnight into August 27, supporting radiative cooling and minimum temperatures in the mid-60s°F for Chicago. This consensus aligns with trader emphasis on the 62–67°F bins, which together capture over 80% of market-implied probability. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from small variations in forecast cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can alter the rate of nocturnal cooling by 1–3°F. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 65°F, providing context for the tight clustering around this range amid limited uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$70Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast winds overnight into August 27, supporting radiative cooling and minimum temperatures in the mid-60s°F for Chicago. This consensus aligns with trader emphasis on the 62–67°F bins, which together capture over 80% of market-implied probability. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from small variations in forecast cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can alter the rate of nocturnal cooling by 1–3°F. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 65°F, providing context for the tight clustering around this range amid limited uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$70Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast winds overnight into August 27, supporting radiative cooling and minimum temperatures in the mid-60s°F for Chicago. This consensus aligns with trader emphasis on the 62–67°F bins, which together capture over 80% of market-implied probability. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from small variations in forecast cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can alter the rate of nocturnal cooling by 1–3°F. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 65°F, providing context for the tight clustering around this range amid limited uncertainty before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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