Trader consensus on Mexico City's August 27 low temperature shows tight clustering around 12–14°C, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty just 24 hours out. Key drivers include the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which typically cools nights via thinner air and stronger radiational cooling, offset by urban heat island effects that can elevate minima. Late-summer rainy-season moisture and variable cloud cover from convective activity further modulate overnight lows by trapping heat or enhancing cooling. Ensemble guidance from global models displays a narrow but still divergent spread in projected minimums, with traders weighting recent model runs and local observations. New data releases from CONAGUA and updated model cycles over the next day could shift implied probabilities as conditions clarify.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
16°C 47%
17°C 38%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
16%
11°C
24%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
47%
17°C
38%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
4%
16°C 47%
17°C 38%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
9°C or below
$102 Обс.
1%
10°C
$20 Обс.
16%
11°C
$0 Обс.
24%
12°C
$0 Обс.
26%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
26%
15°C
$0 Обс.
26%
16°C
$20 Обс.
47%
17°C
$42 Обс.
38%
18°C
$37 Обс.
1%
19°C or higher
$37 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Mexico City's August 27 low temperature shows tight clustering around 12–14°C, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty just 24 hours out. Key drivers include the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which typically cools nights via thinner air and stronger radiational cooling, offset by urban heat island effects that can elevate minima. Late-summer rainy-season moisture and variable cloud cover from convective activity further modulate overnight lows by trapping heat or enhancing cooling. Ensemble guidance from global models displays a narrow but still divergent spread in projected minimums, with traders weighting recent model runs and local observations. New data releases from CONAGUA and updated model cycles over the next day could shift implied probabilities as conditions clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$257Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Mexico City's August 27 low temperature shows tight clustering around 12–14°C, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty just 24 hours out. Key drivers include the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which typically cools nights via thinner air and stronger radiational cooling, offset by urban heat island effects that can elevate minima. Late-summer rainy-season moisture and variable cloud cover from convective activity further modulate overnight lows by trapping heat or enhancing cooling. Ensemble guidance from global models displays a narrow but still divergent spread in projected minimums, with traders weighting recent model runs and local observations. New data releases from CONAGUA and updated model cycles over the next day could shift implied probabilities as conditions clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$257Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Mexico City's August 27 low temperature shows tight clustering around 12–14°C, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty just 24 hours out. Key drivers include the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which typically cools nights via thinner air and stronger radiational cooling, offset by urban heat island effects that can elevate minima. Late-summer rainy-season moisture and variable cloud cover from convective activity further modulate overnight lows by trapping heat or enhancing cooling. Ensemble guidance from global models displays a narrow but still divergent spread in projected minimums, with traders weighting recent model runs and local observations. New data releases from CONAGUA and updated model cycles over the next day could shift implied probabilities as conditions clarify.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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