Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from models like the GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 80°F for Chicago on August 27 under mostly sunny skies following a cold front passage the prior day. Northwest winds shifting northeast will advect cooler, drier air behind the front, suppressing cloud cover and limiting afternoon mixing to keep temperatures from climbing beyond the low 80s. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where the average high is approximately 81°F, and supports the market's strong consensus around 80-81°F. Limited model spread and stable high-pressure ridging reduce upside risk for 82°F or higher readings, while minimal overnight recovery and light winds cap downside potential below 78°F.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on August 27?
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
74-75°F 5%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
56%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
74-75°F 5%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
56%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from models like the GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 80°F for Chicago on August 27 under mostly sunny skies following a cold front passage the prior day. Northwest winds shifting northeast will advect cooler, drier air behind the front, suppressing cloud cover and limiting afternoon mixing to keep temperatures from climbing beyond the low 80s. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where the average high is approximately 81°F, and supports the market's strong consensus around 80-81°F. Limited model spread and stable high-pressure ridging reduce upside risk for 82°F or higher readings, while minimal overnight recovery and light winds cap downside potential below 78°F.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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