Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 25 project a high near 79°F under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F outcomes. Mild warm advection from the south and daytime insolation under limited cloud cover support this range, while the moderating influence of Lake Michigan and any late-day lake breeze could cap readings near the lower end. Model consensus shows low variability, with only minor differences in timing of partial cloud development or boundary-layer mixing explaining the split between 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Historical August averages near 82°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler realization. Updated NWS guidance and hourly observations will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on August 25?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25?
80-81°F 51%
78-79°F 40%
82-83°F 12%
84-85°F 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
51%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 51%
78-79°F 40%
82-83°F 12%
84-85°F 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
71°F or below
$827 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$253 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$831 Обс.
1%
76-77°F
$1,051 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$1,747 Обс.
40%
80-81°F
$1,514 Обс.
51%
82-83°F
$715 Обс.
12%
84-85°F
$484 Обс.
2%
86-87°F
$1,994 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$243 Обс.
<1%
90°F or higher
$213 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 25 project a high near 79°F under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F outcomes. Mild warm advection from the south and daytime insolation under limited cloud cover support this range, while the moderating influence of Lake Michigan and any late-day lake breeze could cap readings near the lower end. Model consensus shows low variability, with only minor differences in timing of partial cloud development or boundary-layer mixing explaining the split between 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Historical August averages near 82°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler realization. Updated NWS guidance and hourly observations will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,726Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 25 project a high near 79°F under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F outcomes. Mild warm advection from the south and daytime insolation under limited cloud cover support this range, while the moderating influence of Lake Michigan and any late-day lake breeze could cap readings near the lower end. Model consensus shows low variability, with only minor differences in timing of partial cloud development or boundary-layer mixing explaining the split between 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Historical August averages near 82°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler realization. Updated NWS guidance and hourly observations will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,726Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 25 project a high near 79°F under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F outcomes. Mild warm advection from the south and daytime insolation under limited cloud cover support this range, while the moderating influence of Lake Michigan and any late-day lake breeze could cap readings near the lower end. Model consensus shows low variability, with only minor differences in timing of partial cloud development or boundary-layer mixing explaining the split between 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Historical August averages near 82°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler realization. Updated NWS guidance and hourly observations will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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