Forecast models from PAGASA and international ensembles indicate Manila's August 28 minimum temperature will likely settle between 24–27°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 85–93%, and frequent thunderstorms expected to suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent southwesterly winds and orographic lift along western Luzon further promote moisture convergence, moderating overnight lows compared to drier periods while urban heat effects and timing of heaviest rainfall introduce variability across model runs. Trader consensus clustering tightly around 25–26°C reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 22°C or above 30°C given historical August baselines near 25–26°C and current atmospheric setup. Updated model guidance ahead of landfall windows will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 28?
23°C 89%
24°C 89%
27°C 89%
28°C 89%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
9%
22°C
71%
23°C
89%
24°C
89%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
89%
28°C
89%
29°C
82%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
48%
23°C 89%
24°C 89%
27°C 89%
28°C 89%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
$22 Обс.
9%
22°C
$22 Обс.
71%
23°C
$0 Обс.
89%
24°C
$0 Обс.
89%
25°C
$0 Обс.
47%
26°C
$0 Обс.
47%
27°C
$0 Обс.
89%
28°C
$0 Обс.
89%
29°C
$22 Обс.
82%
30°C
$22 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$22 Обс.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from PAGASA and international ensembles indicate Manila's August 28 minimum temperature will likely settle between 24–27°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 85–93%, and frequent thunderstorms expected to suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent southwesterly winds and orographic lift along western Luzon further promote moisture convergence, moderating overnight lows compared to drier periods while urban heat effects and timing of heaviest rainfall introduce variability across model runs. Trader consensus clustering tightly around 25–26°C reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 22°C or above 30°C given historical August baselines near 25–26°C and current atmospheric setup. Updated model guidance ahead of landfall windows will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$109Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from PAGASA and international ensembles indicate Manila's August 28 minimum temperature will likely settle between 24–27°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 85–93%, and frequent thunderstorms expected to suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent southwesterly winds and orographic lift along western Luzon further promote moisture convergence, moderating overnight lows compared to drier periods while urban heat effects and timing of heaviest rainfall introduce variability across model runs. Trader consensus clustering tightly around 25–26°C reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 22°C or above 30°C given historical August baselines near 25–26°C and current atmospheric setup. Updated model guidance ahead of landfall windows will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$109Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from PAGASA and international ensembles indicate Manila's August 28 minimum temperature will likely settle between 24–27°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 85–93%, and frequent thunderstorms expected to suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent southwesterly winds and orographic lift along western Luzon further promote moisture convergence, moderating overnight lows compared to drier periods while urban heat effects and timing of heaviest rainfall introduce variability across model runs. Trader consensus clustering tightly around 25–26°C reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 22°C or above 30°C given historical August baselines near 25–26°C and current atmospheric setup. Updated model guidance ahead of landfall windows will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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